ESPN Article: Pressure on Day

Submitted by dcblue92 on June 19th, 2023 at 3:59 PM

Nice to see preseason articles about the pressure on OSU to beat Michigan, instead of the annual “can’t beat his rivals” articles about Harbaugh pre-2021. They talk about having more motivation, but how much more motivation do you really need for The Game? I think it makes them play tighter, especially when they get behind.
 

https://apple.news/AjE6svLpQQLKD7Jos67Bx-A

4roses

June 19th, 2023 at 4:18 PM ^

While it is nice to reflect on how the tables have turned and smile, I can't help but think that articles like this are why MGoBlog (and a few other blogs) exist. I suppose that in a world where Guardians of the Galaxy 3 and Dungeons and Dragons the movie exist I shouldn't be surprised that the same sports storylines get recycled too, but man give me some original content. 

uferfan

June 19th, 2023 at 4:43 PM ^

It’s pretty simple. A single will get Day home. Or if there’s zero or one out, a sacrifice fly will be a success. Just need the ball to be hit deep enough.

Of course, there’s the wild pitch, or the balk- but Harbaugh doesn’t balk, so good luck with that.

rice4114

June 19th, 2023 at 6:31 PM ^

Long term I really think you take your chances if you can get a 90% winning coach to get fired. Every new coach is a chance to be Rich Rod or Hoke. Every bump in the road derails the juggernaut ever so slightly. Id take the chaos that comes in a coaching change after what Day has done any day. Who would be an upgrade?

Buffalowing Blue

June 20th, 2023 at 12:22 PM ^

Completely agree, rice. They thought they had Urban 2.0 after 2019 and he was going on his own decade long run on Michigan and would win NCs.  A 3rd straight beatdown followed by him being fired would be a cherry on top.  Destroy every bit of their confidence and recruiting momentum they've had.  He knows he's gone if he loses in November.  I've said before I think they lose 1-2 games before playing Michigan anyway.

Eng1980

June 20th, 2023 at 9:15 AM ^

It is possible that OSU is on a downward slide with Day but I always find it odd that someone gets canned for not winning a couple of games after winning with an otherwise stellar record.  As we asked with Harbaugh comparisons, who is better that would come to Michigan?  (Remember Matt Campbell, fine coach but . . .)  Some said Hoke was on his way to Michigan in October of Rich Rod's last year.  Hoke was the best available that would actually accept the position.  Rich Rod was the 4th choice when he was hired.  Tressel was the 3rd choice when he was hired.  LSU winning the NC with 3 different coaches is an amazing story.

Blau

June 19th, 2023 at 5:38 PM ^

I’m not so sure this year’s OSU team is better than last year’s version with Stroud at QB. I’m not saying they’ll lose a bunch of games but I don’t see same sports car as the national pundits do. I think ND and PSU give them a run for their money, maybe even Maryland, and then playing at the big house in late November could add up to 2 or 3 losses. 
 

Day losing to UM 3x in a row won’t be his death sentence, unless it’s a complete drubbing, but 4 would be the final straw for sure. 

smotheringD

June 19th, 2023 at 6:00 PM ^

I think it depends on what the defense does in year 2 under Knowles.  The offense will put up numbers, albeit with a first-year QB.  But will the defense take another step forward or will it still be high risk, ripe for JJ, Blake, Donovan, CJ, Colston, and Sherrone to slice and dice?

Grampy

June 19th, 2023 at 7:04 PM ^

I’d be nervous if I were a Buckeye fan. Playing with an untested QB behind a line that lost 3 players and wasn’t that good to begin with?  Their defense will be better with another year in the system, but so will Michigan’s Offense. I also believe Michigan’s Defense will be improved this year. Apart from benefiting from another year in the NFL scheme Minter runs, they will respond to the beating they took against TCU.  We’re going to be special this year and OSU will be just another grease spot on the road

lhglrkwg

June 20th, 2023 at 11:21 AM ^

I'm not so sure. The OSU football fanbase is probably The(TM) most spoiled sports fanbase in American sports. They've literally never seen their team go through a significant downturn. When they counter and say "the 6-6 year was really hard!" that's how you know it's true. The expectations for Day are basically 0-1 losses every season and a conference title + CFP berth or we riot

Eye of the Tiger

June 19th, 2023 at 8:07 PM ^

They now play the way we did when they were beating us every year - more afraid to lose than excited to win. That's a big reason why I think we are going to beat them this year. 

If they do lose to us, and don't throw a fit and can Day, he'll get a shot at reversing the dynamic in 2024 (we will lose a lot of offensive production and the game will be in Columbus). But I expect them to can Day if we beat them again this year - no matter how dumb that move might be. 

Hannibal.

June 20th, 2023 at 8:21 AM ^

I'm sure that Day is under a ton of pressure this year.  When you beat your rival 15 out of 16 times and then suddenly lose two in a row it must feel like the end of the world.  Truth is, 15 out of 16 is "Michigan dominance in Brown Jug game" level dominance, and it's not reasonable to expect that. Reasonable expectations for OSU would be 6 or 7 wins a decade vs. Michigan if both teams have competent coaching, and that means that occasional 2 game losing streak.  Even Auburn is 5-11 against Alabama under Saban's tenure.

There's no way that we should have ever lost 15 out of 16. 

The Bucks have also lost 2 games or less 12 years in a row. Imagine how pissed the Buckeye fans will be at Day if he has a 9-3 season or, god forbid, an 8-4 season.  It's inevitable though.  Nobody stays dominant forever, even though when they have been dominant for a decade it's hard to imagine anything else.  Just look at Florida State -- 14 seasons in a row losing 2 games or less from 1987 through 2000, with two national chamionships in there.  If you told people in 2000 that Florida State would be crappy for most of the next 20 years, people would have thought that you were crazy.  Ditto for USC under Pete Carroll, Florida under Spurrier and Meyer, etc.

 

Hannibal.

June 20th, 2023 at 8:30 AM ^

OSU has changed somewhat under Day from Meyer. They have gone full Fun-and-Gun it seems, whereas Meyer was very much focused on the ground game or at least having a balanced attack. I wonder if returning to Meyer's style of football just isn't in Day's DNA.  I think that he's a "throw for 400 yards per game" guy and that's just who he is. This works against a lot of teams but they have been totally unprepared for us in the trenches the past couple of years. They may have gotten too QB and WR focused, and their defense has been spotty (and just plain bad against us).

It took 7 years for Michigan to build what they have right now. We actually have a program right now with a unique identity.  Imitating that is something that can't easily be done overnight.

That is not to say that I expect a repeat of '21-'22 any time soon, but I don't see Day running off six or seven in a row against us. 

Perkis-Size Me

June 20th, 2023 at 8:38 AM ^

Nice to see the narrative flip for a change. 

I don't think Day is coaching for his job this year, no matter what happens in The Game (unless it something like a 49-3 beatdown, which is highly unlikely). Let's be honest, there is almost no one OSU can hire who is going to do any better than him. Two Big Ten titles, three CFP appearances, one title game appearance, and was one missed field goal away from a second title game and almost certainly winning it all. On top of all that, fielding the best offenses OSU has ever had, and is winning nearly 90% of his games.

I know, its not that he's only losing 1-2 games a year, but its that he's losing the wrong games. I know. But again, who are they realistically going to get who would do any better? The only coaches in the game who, at this juncture, are proven to be better coaches are Smart and Saban. And neither of them are leaving their current spots. 

It is in fact more likely that if they fire Day and bring someone else in, OSU as a whole would regress. Shoot, they could even hire their own RichRod and crater the program for nearly a decade. If I'm an OSU fan, I'm frankly terrified at the prospect of firing Day. 

Day is safe this upcoming season. Even with a third loss to Michigan. However, he may very well be coaching for his job in 2024 if he loses to Michigan again this season. But that would be the time to effectively right the ship, given everyone Michigan is likely losing next season, both players and staff.