I took the numbers from Pomeroy's profile for us. The three point percentage is 35.7 but thetwo point percentage is 54.7 (which is good for eighth nationally).
I did actually take a look at 3PA vs. Offensive Efficiency and pretty much came to the same conclusion that you did. Games like the last one at Northwestern where we shoot a bunch of threes and only make a few are less than ideal. Given our 3 point and 2 point percentages, our value of a three point shot is 1.071 points per shot, and our two point shot is worth 1.094 points per shot. Since I'm assuming that there's lower variance for two point shooting on a game-by-game basis, putting up more twos (which are often easier looks, particularly in the context of our offense) is the optimal strategy. Interestingly, we shot the fewest amount of threes all year at home against Ohio State, and won. We only made three.
I guess it's not totally clear because I didn't include it in my text to Ace, but I got most of my impressions on Braden from my brother. He was on the defense against Rockford, and I asked him what he thought right after the game, so what he said about Braden was said in the heat of battle. I agreed with what he said about Braden, but didn't see (or couldn't tell) that he held a lot.
Fowler mentioned off-the-air that this was a great location logistically to set up, that the crew really enjoyed having it there. Take it FWIW, but it was a phenomenal spot to accomodate a decent crowd.
I'm a big fan of Lewis; my brother is currently a linebacker on a team that's going to play the Big Reds this year so I'll have to ask him what he thinks of Juwan. In another year and in another class I'd love to have him, but with Houma in the fold (who I think could be a running back if we have Iowa-level depth) and the current numbers crunch, I'm not sure I'd take him.
Gotta get him in the youth football program for next year :)
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<br>I'm only slightly kidding, their amazing youth programs are one of the biggest reasons they're succesful.
I said "Ohio State-like", there are many differences -- subtle as they may be -- that separate the two. Illegally recruiting players would be a prime example.
That's a part of it, but there's something special about Rockford. And I don't think people hate Michigan solely because of the success; the arrogance can be irritating.
Students aren't terribly bad, I mean yeah they are but not significantly more than your big high school. The success there has a lot to do with it but their fanbase is arrogant, stuck-up, and rude. It's like an Ohio State-like atmosphere there with the combination of an obscene devotion to athletics, a very irritating superiority complex, and a tradition of success.
Writing for Ace at TWB was a tremendous opportunity for me, and now that he's moved on, it's time for me to wish him the best. He's a great guy to work with and I know that you will appreciate his work as he excels here.
Plus it will be harder for Nebraska to come in and win immediately. We can say "look, this was a great team that entered, but they still onlly got to eight wins!" That's the ideal scenario for us, but I think they'll surpass eight easily.
I'd say that Nebraska, Wisconsin, and Ohio State are the pretty clear favorites, with Michigan State and maybe Penn State as the darkhorses. Michigan, Northwestern, Illinois and Iowa could make some noise though, although they probably won't contend. I'd say it's pretty wide open and there will be upsets; it's just that Nebraska and Wisconsin will rise to the top IMO.
Goodness. We won't see if Hoke's an upgrade until several years down the line, Rodriguez obviously didn't do enough to stay, and all of this debate before Hoke has coached one game at Michigan is asinine.
Thank you, and yeah, I have a pretty good idea of where I'm at and who I am. Fortunately my desire to remember the football games will limit any potential hijinks.
Recent Comments
I took the numbers from Pomeroy's profile for us. The three point percentage is 35.7 but thetwo point percentage is 54.7 (which is good for eighth nationally).
I did actually take a look at 3PA vs. Offensive Efficiency and pretty much came to the same conclusion that you did. Games like the last one at Northwestern where we shoot a bunch of threes and only make a few are less than ideal. Given our 3 point and 2 point percentages, our value of a three point shot is 1.071 points per shot, and our two point shot is worth 1.094 points per shot. Since I'm assuming that there's lower variance for two point shooting on a game-by-game basis, putting up more twos (which are often easier looks, particularly in the context of our offense) is the optimal strategy. Interestingly, we shot the fewest amount of threes all year at home against Ohio State, and won. We only made three.
Contrary to popular belief. He was 3-14 from the field in Ann Arbor last year.
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I'd take it with a grain of salt too -- I didn't really notice the technique too much but I just quoted an opposing player verbatim.
I guess it's not totally clear because I didn't include it in my text to Ace, but I got most of my impressions on Braden from my brother. He was on the defense against Rockford, and I asked him what he thought right after the game, so what he said about Braden was said in the heat of battle. I agreed with what he said about Braden, but didn't see (or couldn't tell) that he held a lot.
Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State is the perfect example of a big brother vs. little brother game.
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Yeah if I had a weaker football program, I'd want to go to a weaker football conference too. Makes perfect sense.
I'll go with Baylor maybe?
I was booing as loud as anyone during the part when they asked about Pop Evil. Shit,s embarrasing man.
Fowler mentioned off-the-air that this was a great location logistically to set up, that the crew really enjoyed having it there. Take it FWIW, but it was a phenomenal spot to accomodate a decent crowd.
Who cares?
My alma mater uses Illinois' fight song. I didn't really like it a whole lot.
/coolstorybro
Best one of the offseason.
I'm a big fan of Lewis; my brother is currently a linebacker on a team that's going to play the Big Reds this year so I'll have to ask him what he thinks of Juwan. In another year and in another class I'd love to have him, but with Houma in the fold (who I think could be a running back if we have Iowa-level depth) and the current numbers crunch, I'm not sure I'd take him.
And Morgan did kill it in the OK-Red. I saw it firsthand; there aren't too many like him out here in West Michigan.
Akron was one of the worst three teams in the FBS last year. It's going to be a bloodbath.
I have student tickets -- $30 lol
Pretty swell class lining up; that front seven will be terrifying in a few years.
My reasoning: we all paid too much for a ticket to lose:
Michigan -- 77
Notre Dame -- 0
My grandfather fought in WWII and is thankfully still with us.
Oklahoma -- Tulsa should be an interesting game if Damaris Johnson suits up.
/actually serious
Double quarter pounder with a McChicken.
It's great to make the nice short walk over from SQ to get there.
That might be possible.
Gotta get him in the youth football program for next year :)
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<br>I'm only slightly kidding, their amazing youth programs are one of the biggest reasons they're succesful.
Our "rivalry" with Rockford has dropped off a lot too; seems like yesterday that Rockford, EK, and Grandville were at the top.
It's changed a lot over the past ten years or so. I'll concede that it's definitely a few over-zealous fans that give bad name to the rest though.
I said "Ohio State-like", there are many differences -- subtle as they may be -- that separate the two. Illegally recruiting players would be a prime example.
That's a part of it, but there's something special about Rockford. And I don't think people hate Michigan solely because of the success; the arrogance can be irritating.
Students aren't terribly bad, I mean yeah they are but not significantly more than your big high school. The success there has a lot to do with it but their fanbase is arrogant, stuck-up, and rude. It's like an Ohio State-like atmosphere there with the combination of an obscene devotion to athletics, a very irritating superiority complex, and a tradition of success.
I hope that Braden works on his game, stays healthy, and enjoys his senior year. I also hope Rockford goes 0-9.
We just have to hope that they don't land Gary Harris
Don't sleep on Brandon Wood for MSU. It was a sad day when they added an All-B1G caliber point guard the same week we lost one.
Denard thinks Braylon should get the #16 jersey.
If only they had hired Leach. Edsall is antithetical to those uniforms.
Seconded. I'll miss working with him, but this is a phenomenal gig for Ace. The best always do rise up.
Writing for Ace at TWB was a tremendous opportunity for me, and now that he's moved on, it's time for me to wish him the best. He's a great guy to work with and I know that you will appreciate his work as he excels here.
Good luck man!
(and you too Heiko!)
He's a redshirt junior I believe, so Seastrunk would have one year with him.
I live on the west side of Michigan and no one here has gotten theirs either.
Plus it will be harder for Nebraska to come in and win immediately. We can say "look, this was a great team that entered, but they still onlly got to eight wins!" That's the ideal scenario for us, but I think they'll surpass eight easily.
I'd say that Nebraska, Wisconsin, and Ohio State are the pretty clear favorites, with Michigan State and maybe Penn State as the darkhorses. Michigan, Northwestern, Illinois and Iowa could make some noise though, although they probably won't contend. I'd say it's pretty wide open and there will be upsets; it's just that Nebraska and Wisconsin will rise to the top IMO.
Seems like a reasonable prediction for us.
Seems like a reasonable prediction for us.
Goodness. We won't see if Hoke's an upgrade until several years down the line, Rodriguez obviously didn't do enough to stay, and all of this debate before Hoke has coached one game at Michigan is asinine.
Jerod Ward was the number one prospect a few years after Webber, although injuries really limited him.
West Virginia! Please...
Thank you, and yeah, I have a pretty good idea of where I'm at and who I am. Fortunately my desire to remember the football games will limit any potential hijinks.