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I think you'll see Mich be…

I think you'll see Mich be 60-65% of the crowd.  Texas has a lot of Michigan alumni, and we travel really well, which is why we're generally in a better bowl than we might expect.

Ticket volumes have actually INCREASED 5-10% over the last couple of days, and I've seen prices drop on SeatGeek and Stubhub 10-15%.  This is even before all the alumni have their tickets available to resell.  I think you're going to see additional erosion over the next two days. 

I'm targeting 4 lower level, and hoping to get them below $1k each plus fees (right now I'm seeing $1100-1200 per deals).  As someone said above, most people want their tickets before they leave for Houston.  It's hard to argue, but it will save you money.  Look for when the ticket volumes start to decline.  That's your time to buy.

Sorry to hear.  There's a…

Sorry to hear.  There's a lot of this going on.  It frustrates me that people make a living out of stealing from other people.

One tip that I've used is the payment systems when not buying thru Stubhub/Seatgeek, etc.  I think Paypal is the one that guarantees ticket, effectively insurance.  It costs a few bucks more, but no chance of losing the $700.  I think I did that on 8 MSU tickets last year and it worked flawlessly.  Also, I made sure to talk to the guy and literally looked him up on LinkedIN.  Lot of money at stake.

It's a tough market for these big ticket purchases.  Most of the resellers charge 30%, so you just have to bake that into your expectations/ticket targeting.  It sucks, but they do provide a service.  It's not perfect, but way better than trying to do large cash exchanges on the street.  

Many of these tickets are…

Many of these tickets are speculation buyers.  It doesn't operate like a stock market, as the tickets spoil.  Whenever I pick games to go to, I track them closely (recovering UM engineer).  Regular season, bowls, final fours, playoffs all follow the same pattern.  As volume (Thurs!) increases, prices drop, and as you get closer to the even, tickets drop.  Based on watching last year, I think you'll see 20% drop in LL, and 30-40% in upper level.  Getting Wash as our opponent was much better than Texas.  Volume tipping point is usually 2 days before the event.  That's when you want to target buying.  It's stressful, but worth a few hundred bucks per ticket.

We're heading to Houston, so…

We're heading to Houston, so I've been tracking since Monday before the game.  Prices have dropped significantly, and more volume continues to come online.  There should be added volume when the school seats hit the secondary market (Thurs?).  It's nerve-wracking, but I suggest waiting til Friday/Sat before pulling the trigger.  Watch for when the volume of tickets start to slide as your key.