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Date Title Body
02/15/2019 - 10:08am Justin Fields - 5* SO (#2…

Justin Fields - 5* SO (#2 overall player in class)

Matthew Baldwin - 4* RS-FR (#12 Pro style QB)

 

Pretty good talent - weak depth...  and guaranteed they'll pick up a grad transfer.

02/12/2019 - 3:47pm " They didn't emphasize zone…

" They didn't emphasize zone enough this season, but it's not about a) Brown not knowing it; b) Brown being unwilling to run it. "

If they didn't run it enough  - it's because Brown chose not to run it.

The difference between "Brown chose not to run it" and "Brown being unwilling to run it" is nothing but a semantic "rose by another name".

 

02/08/2019 - 10:01am I think it wasn't the NBA 3…

I think it wasn't the NBA 3 line as much as NBA athletes closing out on those 3's.

 

He isn't a creator, and isn't going to punish guys off the dribble like in college - so defenders can hang right on him and challenge his shot.

02/08/2019 - 9:58am 2016:
Smith - 181
Evans - 88…

2016:
Smith - 181
Evans - 88
Isaac - 74
Higdon - 72

 

2015:
Smith - 180
D. Johnson - 54
Green - 47
Houma - 43
Isaac - 30

 

2014:
Smith - 108
Green - 82
D. Johnson - 60
Hayes - 48

 

2009:
Minor - 96
Brown - 81
V. Smith - 48
Shaw - 42
 

02/06/2019 - 2:48pm Hoke had one good season.

 …

Hoke had one good season.

 

Even with that one season - he didn't outperform his predecessor at BGSU, or win at higher than the school's historic average.

 

 

 

02/05/2019 - 7:39am It's not the quality of the…

It's not the quality of the trade that is the problem... it's the very concept of "trading" being acceptable that is the problem.

02/04/2019 - 2:18pm Depends on what the recruit…

Depends on what the recruit was told... if they were told it was a committable offer, it's only ok given a scholastic or legal failure on the part of the athlete.

01/29/2019 - 11:11am 5% body fat is insanely,…

5% body fat is insanely, insanely skinny.

Even most extremely toned athletes are closer to 10%.

01/18/2019 - 5:53pm Gary won't even be one of…

Gary won't even be one of the top 2 DL picked. 

01/16/2019 - 3:51pm A semi functional site.

A semi functional site.

01/13/2019 - 7:47pm Gary won't even be one of…

Gary won't even be one of the top 2 DL picked, much less the #2 pick.

01/04/2019 - 12:39pm Correct.

It was a major…

Correct.

It was a major made up in the 1960's due to hippy whining... nothing at all to do with athletes.

 

...now, because of the choice involved in designing the degree program it CAN be a bullshit major, or it can exceedingly academically rigorous.

01/03/2019 - 12:51pm I... ummm... know people -…

I... ummm... know people - that have recently been involved with auditing the FOIA group. Nothing has changed.

 

They largely go out of their way to do as LITTLE as possible required under the law, and go out of their way to avoid giving out information. They definitely don't adhere to the intent of FOIA law.

01/03/2019 - 12:10pm https://www.michigandaily…

https://www.michigandaily.com/news/special-report-university-michigan-charges-high-fees-public-records

01/03/2019 - 12:08pm Ummm...

 

Everyone was…

Ummm...

 

Everyone was undertargeted BECAUSE they have a 60-40 run pass split on plays to begin with and then play so damn slow.

 

Move that split to 55-45 run, and speed the pace up from almost last to around median... and you'll see a lot more catches from the top5.

 

Throw in less pointless subs, and those catches accumulate for the top 5 also.

01/03/2019 - 11:30am So it's not "size" now... it…

So it's not "size" now... it's "build".

 

Chris Evans just isn't a good inside runner. Barkley and Smith were. The end.

 

It's not size, or build - it's skill.

01/03/2019 - 11:27am I'm not rich enough to be…

I'm not rich enough to be able to afford to FOIA things through UofM's obstructionist FOIA group.

 

 

01/03/2019 - 11:23am Yes... and the top 4 on the…

Yes... and the top 4 on the receiving list also caught too few passes.

 

We should be getting EVERYONE more receptions... instead we choose to:

1) Have an overly run heavy play mix given our talent

2) Play insanely SLOW, limiting the total number of plays.

 

 

01/03/2019 - 11:14am Saquon Barkley was 233 at…

Saquon Barkley was 233 at the combine (and ran 4.4)...

De'Veon Smith was 223.

Chris Evans is 216.

 

I don't think size is the issue - Evans isn't a "smaller back", he's just not a good inside runner.

01/03/2019 - 11:09am " That doesn't sound like a…

" That doesn't sound like a lot, but when you compare that to DPJ (39 catches), Nico (33), Gentry (30), and Perry (18)...that's good for 5th most on the team, and missed three games due to injury.  how many more is he really suppose to get? "

Well... I'd say basically EVERY player on that list was severely under targeted...

01/03/2019 - 10:58am Prior to Mayfield -
S&P+ for…

Prior to Mayfield -

S&P+ for Oklahoma:

2005: #41
2006: #26
2007: #15
2008: #4
2009: #60
2010: #6
2011: #22
2012: #6
2013: #22
2014: #17

Top 25 S&P offenses 7 of 10 years. Harbaugh has had top 25 S&P offenses 3 of 8 years he's coached.


Oklahoma has had a top 25 FEI offense 6 of 8 years. Harbaugh has had top 25 FEI offenses in 5 of 8 years he's coached.

01/03/2019 - 9:15am 2014: 36.4 ppg (21st) with…

2014: 36.4 ppg (21st) with Trevor Knight at QB.

2013: 32.8ppg (40th) with Blake Bell.

2012: 38.2ppg (16th) with Landry Jones

2011: 39.5ppg (10th) with Landry Jones

2010: 37.2ppg (14th) with Landry Jones

2009: 31.1ppg (29th) with Landry Jones

2008: 51.1ppg (1st) with Sam Bradford

2007: 42.3ppg (5th) with Sam Bradford

2006: 30.3ppg (19th) with Paul Thompson

2005: 26.9ppg (56th) with Rhett Bomar

2004: 34.8ppg (14th) with Jason White

2003: 42.9ppg (3rd) with Jason White

2002: 38.6ppg (5th) with Nate Hybl

2001: 30.5ppg (32nd) with Nate Hybl

2000: 37.0ppg (9th) with Josh Heupel

1999: 35.8ppg (6th) with Josh Heupel
 

Only 3 years worse than #30 in scoring, 7 years in the top 10 - out of 16 years.

01/03/2019 - 8:54am Most companies I've worked…

Most companies I've worked at in my life:

 

1) Allow relatives to be hired at the same company

2) DO NOT allow relatives to be hired or managed by relatives.

 

Jay Harbaugh gets hired by the Chemistry department and managed by the Dean of LSA? Cool.

Jay Harbaugh gets hired by the AD and managed by Dave Ablauf? Cool.

Jay Harbaugh gets hired BY HIS DAD and managed BY HIS DAD? No Bueno.

 

It wouldn't fly when I worked at Intel, it wouldn't fly when I worked at Pfizer... the only place it was allowed? The 25 person, completely dysfunctional, family owned business I used to work at.

 

Now - university policy doesn't prohibit it, but SPG 201.23 requires some fun paperwork in an attempt to prevent favoritism due to nepotism...

I wonder if Jay has the required "management plan" to  "address reporting relationships, supervision and evaluation that will assure that there will be no decision making based upon relationships in promotion, wages, hours or other conditions of employment"

 

01/03/2019 - 8:39am His never playing is…

His never playing is irrelevant.

 

He shouldn't have been hired, and shouldn't be part of the staff because of nepotism - whether he is a great coach or a horrible one doesn't matter.

01/03/2019 - 8:24am " Why do you think we have…

" Why do you think we have TE's on the field all the time? "

Because that is the type of offense Harbaugh likes - beat you up in a phone booth.

 

" Michigan's OL isn't strong enough to run block without them "

...yet they are poor blockers, and make run blocking more difficult as opposed to easier on the OL by dragging extra guys into the box.

 

01/03/2019 - 8:20am " Do you REALLY think that…

" Do you REALLY think that Harbaugh & Co. are deciding AGAINST trying to get the ball to DPJ, Nico, or Tarik? "

 

Schematically? Sort of.

 

Michigan was about 60-40 run this year. With a bad OL.. A lot of folks think the 60-40 was because of the bad line, and I agree.

 

If we had a good line - I think Harbaugh would prefer it be more like 80-20.

 

The line isn't limiting Harbaugh's passing game - it's making him pass more than he wants.

01/03/2019 - 8:17am " If there is something you…

" If there is something you're seeing in the scheme, or something that you think you should see but aren't, there is a specific personnel reason for its presence or absence, not stupidity, stubbornness, or some sort of malfeasance. "

 

There is lots and lots and lots and lots of data - regarding going for it on 4th downs, onside kicks, time management, etc., etc. - that coaches are insanely risk averse.

 

There really are a lot of things common, even to high end coaches, that happen because of "tradition" or "stubbornness" because there is a massive aversion to the risk of doing the unusual.

01/03/2019 - 8:13am " Again, do you actually…

" Again, do you actually believe that Harbaugh & Co. are TRYING to keep the ball away from those guys? "

 

No.

 

I believe they plan on opening the offense up a little (but are still overly obsessed with body blows)... and then turtle as soon as things start to go a little sideways.

 

It's a combination of being WAY too in love with archaic manball, and reverting to it even more when the lizard brain kicks in. It's basically the polar opposite of Don Brown's "solve your problems with aggression".

 

01/03/2019 - 8:06am " It takes time to run…

" It takes time to run complex route trees that require multiple reads "

So... Don't.

 

This isn't the NFL. Complex route trees with multiple reads aren't necessary to get your skill players the ball in space.

 

If the complexity doesn't increase success - and based on the offenses run by many successful FBS teams it doesn't - it serves no purpose. There are no style points or extra credit for doing it the hard way.

01/03/2019 - 8:02am With good enough players -…

With good enough players - scheme becomes irrelevant. You can run anything an win all the time.

Problem is - you will NEVER have enough players against elite teams for that to be the case. That is where scheme matters.

 

You will ALWAYS have some games where the offensive line meets its match (or greater than its match) - so you'd better be able to scheme around it.

01/02/2019 - 11:58am S&P+ and FEI show the…

S&P+ and FEI show the offense to be OK (Top 25 is about minimum for making the CFP)... but they also show it to be PAINFULLY unexplosive.

 

... and 60 places very well could be just Shea and Ed Warinner.

 

The offense this year was pretty efficient, which allowed it to make up for its complete lack of explosiveness... but it also means mere minor reductions in efficiency cause the offense to crater.

01/02/2019 - 11:35am Draft info is:

1st round

Draft info is:

1st round

2nd round

3rd round or later.

 

He isn't a 1st/2nd round pick - so the info he got was "3rd round or later". That could be 3rd round or undrafted - they don't differentiate.

01/02/2019 - 11:27am NFL contracts aren't…

NFL contracts aren't guaranteed...

 

He will almost certainly make that $495K - but lots of folks who are drafted higher then Gentry will be never see a second year of their contract.

12/30/2018 - 9:48am It's like the British…

It's like the British complaining about American Revolutionaries not fighting "like Gentleman"

12/30/2018 - 8:57am Ummm... it's pretty much the…

Ummm... it's pretty much the definition of "selfish".

 

12/30/2018 - 8:37am Lots of air raid teams have…

Lots of air raid teams have QBS who will never play in the NFL.

 

Patterson last year at Ole Miss per game:

322 yards

63.8% on 37 attempts.

2.4td, 1.3 int

 

This year:

197 yards

64.8% on 24 attempts

1.75td, 0.4 int

12/29/2018 - 5:25pm Or go to the CFL, or play in…

Or go to the CFL, or play in numerous semi-pro leagues.

 

While the NCAA is the best route to the NFL - you can play professional football right out of high school. 

12/21/2018 - 3:00pm " There’s not a Michigan…

" There’s not a Michigan Alumnus alive, no matter how wealthy, who would participate in buying a football recruit. "

 

Ludicrous. Of course there is.

 

The university has alumni that have been serial killers, and we have buildings named after a financial fraudster....and a eugenics supporter... and the Unabomber...

 

This idea that Michigan grads are so morally pure and would never do anything to sully the universities name is just the highest order of hubris.

12/21/2018 - 2:56pm " Michigan was guilty by…

" Michigan was guilty by association. "

 

Michigan (or at least Fisher) KNEW Martin was paying players. They still allowed him around the program, and even provided him tickets.

 

Michigan was guilty of turning a blind eye to known rules violations because they thought it might help them competitively.

12/21/2018 - 2:51pm By definition, Ed Martin WAS…

By definition, Ed Martin WAS a Michigan booster.

12/21/2018 - 12:51pm 100K after taxes/FICA/SS…

100K after taxes/FICA/SS will be about $60-70K.

Scholarship is $42K.

 

That leaves about $18-$28K to cover food, housing, books, etc... and health insurance.

12/21/2018 - 12:49pm I'm not aware of any FBS…

I'm not aware of any FBS schools losing money on their football programs so I can't speak to that.

"Only 24 FBS schools generated more revenue than they spent in 2014, according to the NCAA Revenues and Expenses of Division I Intercollegiate Athletics Programs Report. That figure jumped from 20 schools in 2013, but it has remained relatively consistent through the past decade."

 

Let's say you allocate just the TV and marketing NCAA income to the 130 FBS schools for player yearly salaries.

The schools already get that money... and even with that money ~107 of 131 FBS schools are still in the red. That money is already spent.

 

No one should be spending 100k a year for a BA degree. I don't buy the tuition as a valid counter argument to paying players.

It isn't just tuition.

 

It's tuition, and books, and room and board, and private tutors, and training table, and access to world class coaches, and a monthly stipend.

 

Across FBS most schools spent 2x tuition on total awarded financial assistance.

Across all D1 sports schools awarded $2.6 billion in scholarships and $2.7 billion in other financial assistance to athletes in 2017.

12/20/2018 - 3:08pm I'm more talking C-suite…

I'm more talking C-suite types when I say execs - but yes, the Peach Bowl staff of 14 has a couple black men and a few women.

 

...but that is largely irrelevant to the point that the bowl game isn't meaningless. It was a joke pointing out that to many people (for example bowl executives for whom this is their livelihood) the bowl absolutely DOES have meaning.

12/20/2018 - 2:19pm " NCAA rules allow for 105…

" NCAA rules allow for 105 players to be rostered.  With just using the surplus and not budgeting in player salaries, that would allow an average yearly salary of $92,800. "

 

Ok... I would be ok for that... but then they are employees.

 

They can be fired for poor performance. They have to pay their tuition out of their income. They have to provide their own health insurance. SSI/FICA/Income taxes.

 

If we make them employees - then they are employees, and we treat them as such. Just like the UM bus driver or lecturer.

12/20/2018 - 2:17pm Michigan, and a small set of…

Michigan, and a small set of other P5 schools, are outliers. Significant outliers.

 

Somewhere in the neighborhood of 100 out of 130 FBS programs LOSE money.

 

Michigan brings in a lot of money - but a lot of that money is spent on the program with the players getting some of the benefit of that cash.

 

At a rough estimate - players at Michigan are being compensated with something worth slightly over $100,000 per year.

What percentage of players on the Michigan football team do you believe generate that much value added OVER what a random replacement player would generate?

 

IMO - if the NFL started a minor league tomorrow, and every NFL quality player quit playing college football... you'd see very little change in revenue. College football fans are chearing (and spending) for the name on the front of the jersey, not the name on the back.

 

12/20/2018 - 2:09pm Meaningless: having no…

Meaningless: having no meaning or significance,  having no purpose or reason.

12/20/2018 - 12:29pm I have no philosophic…

I have no philosophic hangups about how we win.

A 5-0 defensive win counts the same as a 62-57 shootout.

I want whatever leads to the most wins. I don't care about style points or "doing it the right way" outside of following the rules.

 

There is no "right way" to win - there is just winning and losing.

12/20/2018 - 11:58am " Athletes are paying for…

" Athletes are paying for the same service in a different way, but the disparity between the monetary value they receiver versus what the school receives is huge.  "

 

For about 20-30 players in all of FBS.

For another 100 or so players - the disparity is small.

For the other 95% of FBS players the disparity between the monetary value they receiver versus what the school receives is huge... in favor of the player.

12/20/2018 - 11:54am " Does rapidly rising…

" Does rapidly rising compensation for coaches, support staff explosion, rampant facilities spending, or the general commercialization of the sport stop you from watching?  "

 

Not yet - but I am moving along the continuum.

 

I watch less sports in general than I used to - but college football has seen, by far, the biggest percentage reduction over the years.

12/20/2018 - 11:52am You think the Peach Bowl…

You think the Peach Bowl execs aren't rich white dudes?

You think the Peach Bowl is "meaningless" to those Peach Bowl execs who stand to make a pile of cash off the Peach Bowl?