|02/15/2019 - 5:41pm||Lincoln is one of the…||
Lincoln is one of the stronger USHL markets from an attendance POV. I do think that UNL would be successful if and when they move to D-1.
I'm a little more leary on each of Illinois, Northwestern and Iowa:
(1) Illinois: Champaign doesn't seem to support UI sports that well (b-ball and football attendance). They're too from Chicago to regularly draw from there. And markets like Bloomington and Danville are close but also have had poor support for their USHL/SPHL/FHL franchises over the years.
(2) Northwestern: I'm sure they have the $$$, but seriously doubt they'll get a large fanbase.
(3) Iowa: Hockey would likely be the third most popular Hawkeye winter sport, behind wrestling and basketball. That's a significant structural impediment to success. They may be able to draw from Cedar Rapids (30 miles away) but Cedar Rapids has had only so-so attendance for their USHL team over the years. If anything, I'd think Iowa State would be better than Iowa.
|02/15/2019 - 4:54pm||The USFL does fascinate me -…||
The USFL does fascinate me - I've read a number of books on it, including "the $1 league" (written by someone who worked in their corporate offices for 3 years) and the most recent one that came out this past autumn ("Football For a Buck" by Jeff Pearlman).
The primary reason the USFL failed is there was no cohesiveness amongst the owners. Some of them were committed to spring football, some wanted fall football. Some were fiscally responsible, some were fiscal train-wrecks. Some owners had a more "collegial attitude", they prioritized the health of the league over the health of their franchises. Some had a 180 degree opposite attitude.
Michigan was one of the league's premier franchises in 1983-1984. It's fair to view Michigan as the USFL's equivalent of a Pittsburgh Steelers or New York Giants. Al Taubman was a great owner: extraordinarily wealthy, willing to spend $ (though in a responsible fashion), and committed to making the franchise a positive force in the city.
But, once the move to the fall was announced - he wanted nothing more to do with the USFL. He thought a move to go up against the NFL was stupid. He pulled up stakes almost immediately. Michigan merged with the Oakland Invaders after 1984: Oakland actually wound up playing in the last ever USFL game (lost to Baltimore, a.k.a. the old Philadelphia Stars from the 1983 title game, in the 1985 Championship game).
If the league couldn't keep an owner like Taubman, or a franchise like Michigan, happy - well, it was doomed.
|02/15/2019 - 2:23pm||There definitely is a…||
There definitely is a set of cities that have had teams in most if not ALL of these various non-NFL leagues. Birmingham, Memphis, Orlando, San Antonio, Shreveport. It is a bit hard to keep track of.
|02/15/2019 - 1:16pm||Michigan Panthers. It's…||
Michigan Panthers. It's been a long 36-year-Championship drought!
(I was only 4 years old, so I don't recall it, but I've been told I was at the 1983 Championship Game in Denver)
|02/12/2019 - 8:20pm||Yeah - he's definitely the …||
Yeah - he's definitely the #1 (with a bullet) suspect.
I wonder if we'll get a deathbed confession (of sorts) from L Brooks Patterson someday. Patterson signed off on the plea deal that got Busch released from jail --- and then another murder (which may have been King, I forget the exact timeline) only a few days after.
|02/12/2019 - 7:56pm||My father worked closely …||
My father worked closely (worked on the same projects/teams) with Ronald Bailey's father - for those that remember, Bailey was a killer in the Oakland & Livingston County areas in the mid-1980s, preyed on young teenage boys.
Bailey was in his mid-20s at the time, and those murders were about 8-10 years after the Oakland County Child Killer.
Bailey's in prison for the rest of his life. I'm sure they've investigated him as regards being the OCCK, but outside of age (Bailey would have been a bit young, in his mid-teens), he definitely fits in regards to (1) type of crime and (2) general geographic region.
|02/12/2019 - 1:20pm||Not that I encourage nuclear…||
Not that I encourage a bomb being dropped --- but one benefit would be that we could "start completely over" as regards Hall Road between M-53 and Romeo Plank. It is literally the WORST traffic-ridden sprawl I have seen in my 4 decades on Earth, visiting all 50 states.
The "bomb comment" also goes for (1) LaGuardia airport, particularly the American terminal (which they are actually renovating!), and (2) the entirety of I-90/94 in Chicago.
|02/12/2019 - 1:14pm||Partridge Creek isn't that…||
Partridge Creek isn't that much nicer (IMO).
But you simply can't have 2 malls within 3-4 miles of each other. One of them is necessarily going to die.
It is what it is. I grew up in Sterling Heights. For a long time, Lakeside was the place to be. But the times have changed.
|02/11/2019 - 4:37pm||I think you're right.
I think you're right.
Gonzaga obviously has pedigree. Nevada does too - Sweet 16 last year and they had 4 NCAA wins in the 2004-2007 time span also.
Houston has 1 NCAA win over the last 35 years. Even if, in retrospect, that Saturday night game in Wichita last year was the real Regional Final.
I watched UC @ Houston yesterday. Houston is just as good as last year.
|02/11/2019 - 3:12pm||The lack of a Gonzaga/Nevada…||
The lack of a Gonzaga/Nevada game is puzzling. Everyone knew back last summer that these schools would be very good. A game between those 2 scheduled some time in February would be pretty fun viewing.
Bracketbusters, when it existed, was a nice thing because it facilitated games such as Gonzaga vs Nevada (or Buffalo vs. Wofford).
Bracketbusters is gone now. So those ADs need to do some work (e.g., finding a way to re-arrange scheduled WCC and MWC conference games) to get the game on the schedule. But even if it is more work, those ADs need to DO it. They're doing their hoops squads a dis-service in not making the extra effort.
|02/11/2019 - 2:57pm||The "last known job" wording…||
The "last known job" wording from the original article was kind of weird.
It's not easy to find, but I did find via Google searching that Perles WAS a scout for Tampa Bay for all of 2014-2017, and was an analyst at the University of Kansas last year.
So, he's been employed. He hasn't been out of a football job for several years running now.
This doesn't strike me as an odd hire. Analysts, you can have a whole bunch of them. And it seems like "older guys with decent but not great resumes" isn't completely uncommon for folk who fill the role.
|02/10/2019 - 6:42pm||The Micic/Rivera match was…||
The Micic/Rivera match was the highlight of the duel. Kudos to Rivera for taking the challenge of wrestling up in weight. Micic has a lot of strong performances of late, he's the favorite (right now) for NCAA among a crowded field.
I have my issues with BTN too (show more hockey). But they, to their credit, have done a good job on the wrestling front this year. Typically 2 duels a weekend. They aired (and fairly heavily promoted) PSU/OSU also on Friday night.
FYI: Michigan will also be on BTN next weekend. Rutgers, Sunday, 12 PM (ET).
|02/07/2019 - 8:23pm||Well said --- I'd even say…||
Well said --- I'd even say that Frank Robinson is under-appreciated even among people with a sense of baseball history. He sort of gets lost in the shuffle. He shouldn't be.
Also --- last ever person to manage the Montreal Expos.
|02/07/2019 - 1:31pm||I heard that this AM --- it…||
I heard that this AM. I was definitely "huh???"
FWIW, the "other football league" (the AAF) starts this weekend. The AAF has 8 teams. The youngest coach in that league is 57 years old. The coaches there include 5 former NFL coaches - the likes of Mike Singletary, Dennis Erickson, Mike Martz, Mike Riley and Steve Spurrier (!?!?!?). Also Slick Rick Neuheisel.
So, I guess Stoops is a bit like them. An older guy who has coached at very high levels, and views this league as a way to return to the sideline.
The difference --- the big difference --- is that Stoops surely has many more options that most of those guys.
|02/06/2019 - 4:54pm||Yeah: Hopson has put…||
Yeah: Hopson has put together 7-6, 8-5 and 6-5 seasons at USM.
Which is alright, but hardly the heights USM has had under some other coaches.
Perhaps a coach with more success could get away with that move, but I think Hopson's out by EOW.
|02/06/2019 - 4:25pm||Duke/UNC has been the…||
Duke/UNC has been the College GameDay game on the last weekend for 7 consecutive seasons.
Nothing guaranteed, of course, but that's the safe bet for GameDay and the 8 ET tip.
|02/05/2019 - 1:33pm||Hoke hired Rocky Long to be…||
Hoke hired Rocky Long to be his DC for the 2009-2010 years at San Diego State (after New Mexico stupidly pressured Long to resign as Head Coach --- the Lobos have been terrible ever since).
And that hire set the stage for Long to become SDSU Head Coach when Hoke left for Ann Arbor. Long's now 69 years old, so he may be looking to retire soon. I suppose this could be history repeating itself: setting the stage by having a viable option as HC already on the coaching staff. Hoke's still young enough at 60. If he became HC in say, 2 years, he'd be about the same age Long was when he took the job.
From what I've read, Hoke is fairly well liked down there.
Hoke & Long also coached together at Oregon State way back in the day.
Overall, seems like a good hire by SDSU to me.
|02/02/2019 - 10:35pm||Nah, Mufasa was cool.
Nah, Mufasa was cool.
The Smurfs, however, were propaganda created by the USSR to indoctrinate American kids about the ideals of Communism.
|02/02/2019 - 12:47am||Just finished watching the…||
Just finished watching the tape - I thought U-M acquitted themselves fairly well. Micic has a good shot at a national title. It's stupid that none of U-M/PSU/OSU wrestle Iowa in a Duel: I'd really like to see Micic deliver some pain to DeSanto (Iowa), he owes that fool a whoopin.
Massa and Miles Amine were close to victories, which is mostly good. But I didn't feel they took many shots to actually get the victory. That's Tough against a defensive wrestler, but still - I appreciate the wrestlers that go for it.
|02/01/2019 - 10:30pm||Late January to Mid February…||
Late January to Mid February is the "dog days" of the college basketball season. The regular season has been grinding on for awhile now, but the NCAA tournament still isn't particularly close on the calendar.
Rare is the college basketball team that doesn't have some lesser games around this time of year.
|02/01/2019 - 5:34pm||Yep. 2nd down and 12, 1:40…||
Yep. 2nd down and 12, 1:40 left, UT down to 1 time-out left. Arguably they should have just handed it off, but Stoerner was going to drop back and pass (or run it) on a QB roll-out type play. Then the fumble happened.
Not to get too far off topic, but I was a college kid who gambled way too much at that time. I had big bets on (1) Arkansas straight-up and (2) K-State -10.5 against Nebraska. Both those games occurred at the same time. Arkansas lost on that fumble, and K-State only won by 10. If you recall that game, it's one of the all-time bad-beats ever.
So I remember that day well. :-)
|02/01/2019 - 5:02pm||Yep. The Clint Stoerner…||
Yep. The Clint Stoerner fumble. That was the same day U-M walloped Wisconsin and Ron Dayne in the 12 Noon game.
Arkansas was undefeated themselves in that game and HAD Tennessee nearly beat. But suffered one of the biggest gut-punch losses ever.
|02/01/2019 - 4:49pm||On a sadder note, Brandon…||
On a sadder note, Brandon Burlsworth's last game. Arkansas walk-on who became an All-American offensive lineman and a 3rd round NFL draft pick. Died 11 days later in an accident.
|02/01/2019 - 4:43pm||True --- not the exact…||
True --- not the exact footprint.
But even during the days prior to Penn State, there weren't a large number of viable B1G prospects within the existing footprint. Notre Dame was really it, and we know what a diva they are. Cincinnati academics & athletics were nothing like they are today.
Come 2010, ND is still a diva. Cinci has become a viable prospect, and Pittsburgh always was a viable prospect but now they're in the footprint. Problem with the latter 2 is some existing members don't necessarily want them around. Politics rears its ugly head.
Expansion has necessarily had to be at the edge of the footprint.
|02/01/2019 - 2:33pm||Most (3) of Franklin's 5 PSU…||
Most (3) of Franklin's 5 PSU teams have had rather weak internal leadership (2016-2017 were the exception). This was exceptionally the case with the 2015 & 2018 teams. Trace was a leader and a tough kid but he didn't seem to have any back-up at all.
Anyway, these sort of stupid things happen on teams with weak internal leadership. The video isn't the clearest thing in the world, but head-strong folk don't even think about getting involved in drunken after-hours rumbles. Obviously.
|02/01/2019 - 1:33am||I'll defend Nebraska…||
I'll defend Nebraska academics. I think "kicking them out" is a totally ridiculous idea - and an idea that is a bit snobbish as well.
No, Nebraska is not an AAU School. Nor is Nebraska at the prestige levels of a Michigan or Northwestern - or even other B1G schools.
But, Nebraska's core mission is not to be one of the country's premier Universities. It's core mission is to provide a quality and affordable higher education for residents of Nebraska. And that, it generally does.
Nebraska's a small state, and like flagship Universities in other similarly small states (New Mexico, Idaho, West Virginia, Hawaii and New Hampshire are the 5 closest states in population) - it will never be a premier academic school. It still serves a worthwhile mission though.
IMO, they are a perfectly fine B1G member. They're in the footprint, and they have good athletics. Their academics are below the conference average, but that's nearly exclusively due to something structural and mainly out of their control (Nebraska is simply a low population state).
|01/31/2019 - 8:33pm||You are right. My bad.
You are right. My bad.
I thought Rutgers was borrowing $ interest-free against themselves, in a bit of an internal accounting trick (RU athletics getting $ from elsewhere in Rutgers, and then "paying it back" later). I didn't know they were getting those interest-free loans straight from the B1G.
Still though - even at their 2014-2020 non-full share levels, it's a hell of a lot more $ than the AAC deal. Plus, the additional revenue from attendance with U-M and OSU coming to town for football games instead of UCF and Memphis.
They're literally mortgaging their 2021-2027 future to play at these poor levels in 2014-2020. Yeesh.
|01/31/2019 - 8:07pm||FWIW - Rutgers gets their…||
FWIW - Rutgers gets their full B1G share starting in 2021, not 2027. Which actually isn't that far off any more.
I do think it's kind of weird they're taking loans against that $. I get that part of it is "creative accounting" - but they are extending their pain.
Maybe I'm wrong, but I think Rutgers' football and basketball will be middle-of-the-pack by 2030.
|01/30/2019 - 11:44pm||Thx - there are some school…||
Thx - there are some school/sports combinations where you have to find the humor in it all.
But I remain a fan. I was at the first game at BJC way back when. And I made the ESPN broadcast that evening (3:40)! I'm pretty sure I am NOT the least ethical man in that screen shot!!!
|01/30/2019 - 10:40pm||Literally anybody.
PSU is cheap, so they're not going to get a big name. So considering that, I think Dave Paulsen from George Mason would be a good hire. He coached at Bucknell before GMU. A Michigan graduate assistant way back in the day for one year under Steve Fisher.
But, PSU being PSU, they'll probably take a CURRENT Patriot League coach. That's where Penn State gets their basketball coaches come from. That's also the conference their coaches quit to go to.
So, come on down Brett Reed, Waterford Mott grad and current Lehigh head coach! He did beat Duke in 2012! That's 1 more NCAA win than PSU has had in the last 17 seasons.
One side note: back in 2000, PSU appeared ready to fire Jerry Dunn. Hofstra's Jay Wright was the #1 target. But, PSU beat a disinterested Michigan (coming off that brutal MSU game) in a horrible Day 1 (of course!) BTT game, then upset #1 Ohio State, who was equally disinterested because they were prepping for the NCAA. Those 2 wins got PSU an NIT bid, where they beat Ivy, MAAC and MAC schools to make the NIT Final Four, where they got walloped. That "run" was good enough for Dunn to keep his job, and Wright spent another year at Hofstra.
We know how that one ended.
|01/30/2019 - 10:36pm||The return game will be on…||
The return game will be on either ESPN. That is known.
Game time will either be 4 PM, 6 PM or 8 PM - ESPN has the rights to all of (1) Michigan @ MSU, (2) Duke @ UNC and (3) Louisville @ Virginia and they'll slot the games as we get closer to March.
|01/30/2019 - 10:31pm||I think Penn State is fully…||
I think Penn State is fully on-pace to be the #14 seed this year. They might actually go 0-20 in conference.
Here's a ridiculous stat: Penn State played on the first day of the B1G tournament every single year for the first EIGHTEEN (18) iterations of the tournament. PSU beat Illinois in double OT in the 2016 season finale to garner the #10 seed and avoid the #11 seed and a 19th straight Day 1 appearance.
|01/30/2019 - 7:59pm||Yep. Even if Simon is found…||
Yep. Even if Simon is found guilty in her upcoming trial, she won't go to jail. It'll get held up on appeals and stays and other related BS for years.
Graham Spanier was found guilty in 2017. Sentenced to 4 months in jail. He still hasn't served a day. I'll bet that's the case 2 years from now also, it will still be in various appeals.
And during all of this - Penn State is footing the bill for all of Spanier's appeals!!! Such was how Spanier's contract was worded. He can bill it all back to the school from which he was fired!!!
Simon will follow the same path - and I'll bet it's also the case that MSU is paying her legal bills. Whatever one over-paid University President gets in their ridiculous contract, it's likely that others get the same.
It's nice to be part of the privileged class.
|01/30/2019 - 7:42pm||What NCAA rule did Michigan…||
What NCAA rule did Michigan State break?
Sure, the NCAA can hit MSU up on the "unethical conduct" rule if they want. That rule (Bylaw 10.1) is worded such that it can basically be applied to anything (from murder to DUI to stealing $2 from the petty cash fund) if the NCAA so desires.
But beyond that --- there's really, nothing. I, personally, don't view this as an NCAA isuse.
|01/30/2019 - 3:04pm||This guy isn't a President,…||
This guy isn't a President, or even a candidate for 2020 yet. But many think he'll throw his hat in the ring.
But before yesterday, I didn't know that Cory Booker made the USA Today All-American team at Tight End as a High Schooler. Then had a pretty good career at Stanford.
|01/29/2019 - 4:48pm||Times have changed --- I was…||
Times have changed --- I was at Penn State during the January 1994 cold snap. This was a very big cold snap --- set all-time record lows that still stand for Columbus, Akron and Pittsburgh.
Harrisburg (the Pennsylvania state government) put the entire Commonwealth of Pennsylvania into emergency operations - all non-essential state organizations needed to close to preserve fuel and such.
Penn State (Joab Thomas, the President before Spanier) actually defied the PA governor and said NO, we're staying open. So, off to class I went.
|01/29/2019 - 4:10pm||True. Phoenix gets both the…||
True. Phoenix gets both the heat and elevation (they're at 1200 feet, which certainly isn't Denver high, but it isn't sea level either).
|01/29/2019 - 3:54pm||That doesn't seem ridiculous…||
That doesn't seem ridiculous to me. It is pretty extreme weather.
Penn State, my alma mater - last week they closed campus on a day where it was 40 in the morning, falling to 25 in the afternoon behind a cold front, with 1-2 inches of total snow expected. In other words: it was a fairly normal January day. Anyway, THAT was ridiculous.
|01/29/2019 - 3:16pm||Airplanes actually perform…||
Airplanes actually perform better operationally (engine performance, lift, et cetera) in colder temperatures vs. warm. That's a function of the more dense air. That's also why, if you fly out of an airport like Denver in summer: it takes a lot of runway to take off and then the climb-out is slow too.
They'll keep all the airplanes overnight on the APUs (auxillary power units) to prevent stuff from freezing (that's something they usually don't need to do with overnight planes in milder air).
Jet fuel isn't at a significant risk of freezing - its freezing point is -53 F.
The big thing with the cold is that (1) ground crew will be significantly less efficient working in the extreme cold, (2) a non-zero risk of lav and water trucks freezing, and (3) the ground trucks and ground equipment may not work (diesel fuel will coagulate when it's in the single digits above zero, much less well below zero).
So those are issues. I've read that United has preemptively canceled ~ 20% of their flights out of O'Hare for Wednesday.
Which - given it's a Wednesday in January, one of the slower days for airline travel in the calendar year - United (or Delta in Detroit) will have slack in the system. It won't be overly difficult to re-route those folk through other hubs and not suffer operationally.
|01/29/2019 - 3:06pm||The Lakes are a blessing and…||
The Lakes are a blessing and a curse for Michigan.
As you said, It keeps things warmer during the big arctic blasts.
It also keeps things much grayer.
I remember the December 1989 cold wave. Traveling from Detroit to Denver by car for the Holidays. Spent the night in North Platte, Nebraska at a hotel. 39 below zero. Which meant another night in North Platte, because our car battery cracked from the cold.
|01/29/2019 - 1:20am||It's funny - I say "I…||
It's funny - I say "I clearly remember where I was when the Challenger exploded" - but doing the math now I got it wrong. I was the class of '89. So, I was in the 5th Grade (not 4th).
So I was 6 years ahead of you. Same class as Coach Nick's oldest daughter Kristen, who passed away back in 1991. As I think about it, she died on 28-January. Which is today. That was so sad. And it still is, all these 28 years later.
Unfortunately, I have no idea what happened to Dr. Engel or Miss Karen. I did like Dr. Engel.
Anyway, good to see another Eagle, and looking at your post history, another De La Salle Pilot! Back-to-back state football Champs!
|01/28/2019 - 5:18pm||Today, FWIW, is the 33-year…||
Today, FWIW, is the 33-year anniversary of the event.
I'm old enough that I can remember "where I was when I heard" (4th Grade, right before lunch - recess was indoors instead of outdoors that day because of the cold - St Anne in Warren Michigan). Time marches on, only the 40+ year old set remembers.
|01/28/2019 - 2:34pm||100% agree.
The U-M/Kentucky game gets lost to history because of what happened 2 days later. But that National Semifinal was a great great basketball game.
I'd have it #1 on my list of great college hoops games (since I've been paying attention, beginning around 1990) that U-M was involved in. Probably top 10 overall.
|01/27/2019 - 9:21pm||When I was watching in real…||
When I was watching in real time on TV --- (1) I thought there was a clear face mask missed on Goff (as there was), and (2) the infamous pass play didn't look like pass interference to me
Now, obviously in retrospect I was wrong on #2. But these things happen quick. And as you said, that missed face mask was huge in terms of game flow.
|01/25/2019 - 5:29pm||I 100% agree with this take…||
I 100% agree with this take. Absolutely spot on.
As you said, Michigan drivers are the perfect combination of fast, aggressive and smart.
I've lived in Cincinnati, which may as well be the South. Drivers there are way too POLITE. For God's sake, don't stop on the freeway to allow people to merge in! It's the mergers job to flow into traffic!
I went to PSU and have spent a lot of time in the Northeast. The drivers there are aggressive but in a dumb sense. Switching lanes every one-tenth of a mile while going down the Cross-Bronx is actually COUNTER-productive. Drivers need to be judiciously smart with their lane changes.
Now I live in Colorado. The drivers here are hopelessly and needlessly slow. You can't go 25 MPH on US-36 going uphill! Plus, snow confounds Colorado drivers, which makes no intuitive sense at all.
|01/24/2019 - 1:32pm||FWIW, the high temperature…||
FWIW, the high temperature at DTW was 76 degrees last 12-April. Then a couple other days in the 70s in the back half of the month.
I'll admit - I despise AccuWeather. Here's why: their 1-7 day forecasts are basically nothing but re-packaging forecasts that are derived from weather models that are developed and funded by the National Weather Service. E.g., they provide no short-term value over what you are getting from your tax dollars. However, AccuWeather has been out there for decades lobbying in Washington DC to cut funding for the NWS.
Then their day-by-day 45 to 90 day forecasts, which they debuted a couple years ago. It's literally impossible to forecast daily weather that far out. There is absolutely zero science involved in their forecasts. All they do is take climatological norms, +/- a couple degrees based off "April will be cooler/warmer than normal" (that seasonal forecast being something that is 100% from the NWS in the first place), then hit some sort of "randomize" function to introduce some daily noise. That's their "product."
AccuWeather claims they are innovative and at the forefront of their field, but they are anything but. They're just a bunch of semi-slick packaging.
Anyway, that's the end of my rant about AccuWeather. If you derive value from their 45 to 90 day forecasts, fair enough.
|01/24/2019 - 1:03pm||Ugh, AccuWeather.
Ugh, AccuWeather. They are the worst.
The 45 and 90 day daily forecasts that AccuWeather produces are complete garbage and provide absolutely zero value.
Sure, they can predict a trend of "April will be colder than normal" 1-2 months ahead (then again, everyone was predicting that, so AccuWeather wasn't providing any value beyond what the National Weather Service provides), but to predict the weather as regards any individual day - that's impossible more than 10 days out.
Even last April when it was a significantly colder than normal month, Detroit had a handful of individual days where it was well above normal and the temperature soared into the mid-70s.
|01/22/2019 - 6:18pm||Parking - I've been to…||
Parking - I've been to Bloomington 5 times for football, 0 for basketball. But I always park at the St Paul Catholic Church that is 1-2 blocks east of the football stadium/Assembly Hall on 17th Street. By the soccer field. 5-minute walk but as long as it's not bad weather, it's considerably easier in and out traffic-wise and a few bucks cheaper.
|01/19/2019 - 9:04am||Sort of 2 answers to that. …||
Sort of 2 answers to that. Whether we're looking at things from the (1) team duel or (2) team tournament POV.
U-M would be a significant underdog to PSU/OSU in a team duel but it's not a blowout either.
Speaking more on PSU: U-M would get the wins at the 2 early weights and there would be some possible wins at later weights. I'd put the odds of a U-M victory in a team duel vs PSU at around 1-2%, but it's not completely unfathomable.
When it comes to a tournament though - that's where PSU is very very very very tough to beat. Too many wrestlers at the middle-higher weights who will rack up A TON of points. I'd be shocked if PSU isn't 2019 NCAA team Champion, and by a pretty wide margin.
2020 should be competitive for the NCAA Team Title though. PSU will fall off a bit - 2 of their wrestlers who rack up all those points are literally impossible to back-fill at the same level. So they will be more level with Iowa, OSU and OK State. I still think U-M is behind both PSU/OSU but the margin is smaller.
|01/18/2019 - 5:49pm||Good diary - I view the…||
Good diary - I view the concept slightly differently, I'd view the question as "if these schools were stock and I already had some of their stock, would I buy more today or sell today from the POV of looking to be ahead 12 months from now?"
The thing that strikes me is that among the "higher premium B1G stocks", there's not many where I would buy.
I'd be selling all of OSU, PSU, MSU, Wisconsin and Iowa. I'd be holding Michigan and Northwestern. I'd be buying Nebraska.
Nature does tend to abhor a vacuum, so maybe someone else comes on. A case can be made for Purdue, Maryland, Minnesota and Illinois all being buys. But I doubt their "stock price" rises to "B1G Title contender" levels either.
Overall, I'm inclined to think it will be another rough 1-2 years for the B1G when benchmarking teams vs. the elite from other conferences.