|02/07/2019 - 9:11pm||Seems pretty new based on…||
Seems pretty new based on the time stamp on his note in the tweet. Good luck to him.
|02/06/2019 - 3:12pm||Hoke was hired because he…||
Hoke was hired because he was an all-important Michigan Man. He woulda walked to Ann Arbor, and so on. It didn't work out. I'm glad he's still coaching though, he belongs on the sideline somewhere on Saturdays.
|01/23/2019 - 2:49pm||We can do more than talk…||
We can do more than talk about the noise. We can quantify it.
To do so, generate random catalogs of the players (allowing duplication: i.e., allow the same player to appear more than once in your random catalogs) and recalculate the quantities in the plot over and over with the random catalogs. Then, after you do this a large number of times (at least 100), you can quantify the uncertainty in the values as follows:
Sort the random catalog results, and get the 16% and 84% cutoff. This is then your 1-sigma confidence interval in the quantities in the data. Plot your histogram, and add the confidence interval.
This whole process is called bootstrapping. I did it recently in a diary.
|01/17/2019 - 7:58pm||But now my up/down vote of…||
But now my up/down vote of your obligatory up/down vote post will be interpreted as an up/down vote on your OP.
AHHHH we need OP voting rights!!!!!
|01/10/2019 - 11:07pm||Felt like a typical road…||
Felt like a typical road game in the big ten. Winning in Madison is going to be a real challenge.
|12/23/2018 - 9:54pm||We are favored according to…||
We are favored according to torvik in every game until the last one of the regular season, on the road in East Lansing, including at Wisconsin.
|12/23/2018 - 7:57pm||Fantasy won't change if you…||
Fantasy won't change if you look. Get the karma.
|12/20/2018 - 2:46pm||"hasn't posted since my OP"
"hasn't posted since my OP"
Weeding out the liars, 2018.
|12/19/2018 - 1:59pm||Me too||
|12/19/2018 - 1:56pm||Good luck everyone
Good luck everyone
|12/18/2018 - 4:20pm||Those drops are not…||
Those drops are not statistically significant. But if someone digs up average fall temperatures for each capital city I can do it pretty easily.
|12/18/2018 - 1:28pm||likewise for the baby||
likewise for the baby
|12/18/2018 - 1:11pm||I've used R as well quite a…||
I've used R as well quite a bit. I just prefer python, and I use it every day; although, R has a much better system of developing and maintaining packages. I find python developers are often just schmucks, but by and large, python is a great tool, and I wouldn't be able to do my job as effectively without it.
|12/18/2018 - 2:26am||Thanks, I think there might…||
Thanks, I think there might be something to it. I should redo the analysis but bin up just the first 1000 km, where the data are more complete.
Coding is so fun. Change some parameters, here you go:
|12/13/2018 - 5:35pm||We are favorites according…||
We are favorites according to Torvik in every game until the last regular season game in the Breslin.
|12/11/2018 - 1:21pm||An addendum to this:
An addendum to this:
Last year, applications rose markedly, and much was in-state and probably attributable to the Go Blue Guarantee, the free tuition promise to in-state families making less than $65,000 per year.
This is in stark contrast to much of the rest of the state's public universities.
|12/11/2018 - 4:20am||You made the point I would…||
You made the point I would’ve made. I’m too lazy to try to see what the effect would have. I’d like to see this plot relative to the KenPom projected score anyways.
|12/10/2018 - 9:01pm||Yeah, as someone pointed out…||
Yeah, as someone pointed out below. It'd be nice to see how often coaches exceed the kenpom expectation in close games.
|12/10/2018 - 7:54pm||Also it's news to me that…||
Also it's news to me that you can't see the absolute voting, just the net. That makes me sad.
|12/10/2018 - 7:53pm||Thanks to this thread (for…||
Thanks to this thread (for pushing me over the top) I can at long last vote on posts. I've been a long time lurker and only as of 2014 did I make an account. Even after that I was a very occasional poster. When the new version of the site came, I only had a couple hundred points, and I was pretty sad that I couldn't vote anymore. Finally... I can again. Thanks to the OP for making a thread to push me over the top!
|12/10/2018 - 7:51pm||Nice plot. So the horizontal…||
Nice plot. So the horizontal position should be relatively unimportant. It's a measure of how long you've been coaching (modulo the relative competitiveness of that coach's games in general). 50 games is enough beat down the noise. Coaches above 50% are just better coaches than coaches below 50% on this plot.
|12/10/2018 - 7:40pm||The pens are great. 90% and…||
The pens are great. 90% and you can moderate easily or go for gold.
|12/10/2018 - 7:39pm||Honestly I think that race…||
Honestly I think that race to maximize the THC content is a bit crazy. When you grow up with much less potent stuff, you have a view that you can smoke a larger amount (in volume) and when you try to do that with the new stuff on the market, your brain feels like it is flowing out of your ears.
|12/10/2018 - 7:33pm||I hope everyone who ever had…||
I hope everyone who ever had to shadily pull up next to their dealer's car for some overpriced shitty weed enjoys their $10 pre-rolled 20% thc joint. Fly high
|12/10/2018 - 7:07pm||You had a nice run. Sorry…||
You had a nice run. Sorry the end of it had to have so many losses :(
|12/10/2018 - 4:07pm||At least the Cardinals have…||
At least the Cardinals have been in the Super Bowl.
|12/07/2018 - 6:28pm||You've offered no…||
You've offered no explanation, so people are offering perceptions. They are right to question what you meant. This is perhaps the most Michigan part of this entire thread.
|12/07/2018 - 1:30pm||Murderwolf is very good at…||
Murderwolf is very good at dunking while gliding through the air 90 degrees from facing the hoop.
|12/07/2018 - 1:29pm||I can almost up vote you…||
I can almost up vote you. Almost.
|12/07/2018 - 1:11pm||Wow. On top of this, look…||
Wow. On top of this, look who Liberty's AD is! From ESPN's article on the hire: "Former Baylor athletic director Ian McCaw, who resigned in wake of the school's sexual assault scandal, is Liberty's athletic director."
Edit: In my excitement, I didn't notice the OP mentioned this. Still flabbergasted.
|12/06/2018 - 4:04pm||I noticed via the 247 class…||
I noticed via the 247 class calculator that Trevor Keegan will be barely higher ranked thank Jones. Great early find on him by the staff.
|12/06/2018 - 4:02pm||I'm not going to argue with…||
I'm not going to argue with a dead president.
|12/06/2018 - 2:19pm||I'll eat a lemon if he…||
I'll eat a lemon if he redshirts anywhere in the country.
|12/05/2018 - 12:22am||From the game preview: “The…||
From the game preview: “The only Northwestern player who's able to do anything at the rim is Pardon, and if he goes off for 24 on 15 shots against Jon Teske I'll eat a lemon.”
He instead went for 20 on 10 shots (also 1/5 on FTA). I still felt like Teske had a pretty good game defensively, but that guy had a nice game.
|11/27/2018 - 1:33pm||turning this back to the…||
turning this back to the point of this post:
There are two ads within your wall of text. Sheesh
|11/13/2018 - 12:13am||Not likely. When one joint…||
Not likely. When one joint goes it's the place that dissipates all the torque. A catastrophic injury in two joints at the same time is very rare. Looking at the video that you posted below, it looks like it's an illusion from the knee turning out as the ankle gives way.
An analogous thing is when you try to tear a paper into three pieces. Take a sheet of paper and tear it slowly along 1/3 lines until there is a small bit left connecting each slit. Then pull on each end of the paper at the outside edges, one of the slits will give out first leaving the other in tact. Similar concept here.
|11/10/2018 - 6:49pm||Milton is not ahead of…||
Milton is not ahead of Peters, and that's for the better at this stage. Peters has had a tough time but seriously, I'd rather have him in an emergency.
|11/07/2018 - 4:03pm||No, need more so I can up…||
No, need more so I can up vote on the new site!
|11/07/2018 - 3:14pm||yayyyyy||
|11/06/2018 - 2:30pm||Fair, I just saw it was…||
Fair, I just saw it was posted today on mgofish, and I didn't look at the date of the tweet, so I thought it was breaking. And with this post, I've moved on.
|11/06/2018 - 2:24pm||See, this is what happens…||
See, this is what happens when I actually work on a Monday.
|11/06/2018 - 2:22pm||Ah yes. On the second page…||
Ah yes. On the second page of posts. Oh well, you will all survive.
|11/06/2018 - 2:18pm||Yeah his tweet was yesterday…||
Yeah his tweet was yesterday. Noticed it wasn't posted on the board.
Fishaw opined that d-line recruiting will be very tight for 2020.
|10/10/2018 - 3:23pm||You are reading too much…||
You are reading too much into top end speeds. Hurricane Florence is an all timer for integrated kinetic energy. Also it just sat there and dumped rain a la hurricane Harvey last year in the Houston area. The flooding just subsided a full two weeks after the storm in the Pee Dee River system near Myrtle Beach.
It's well known that the Saffir-Simpson scale is flawed for measuring total impact of a storm. Even with this storm, the only place that is getting absolutely destroyed via wind is Mexico Beach, where the eastern eyewall passed over. Panama City is taking the western side. Take a look and compare relative damage. But even still, thats only a ~20 mile stretch of land.
|10/05/2018 - 12:33pm||Committing on his sister's…||
Committing on his sister's birthday. Guy really knows how to steal his sister's day. I can think of no better example of a typical brother/sister relationship at that time of life.
|09/20/2018 - 2:18pm||Unnecessary quotation marks…||
Tera Blanco is dating MAAR...not Metellus
|08/30/2018 - 11:39am||I’ll watch both just fine…||
I’ll watch both just fine with the million minutes of commercials in each.
|08/24/2018 - 7:29pm||He doesn't understand how to…||
He doesn't understand how to apologize...
You don't apologize for someone having to go through something. You apologize for your role in that thing.
|08/20/2018 - 2:05pm||Thanks for being willing to…||
Thanks for being willing to call out our program. This is the type of stuff that (hopefully -- ah who am I kidding) neuters irrational fandom before it starts.
It's important though, so thanks for it.
|08/20/2018 - 2:04pm||Yeah. 300 seems unlikely…||
Yeah. 300 seems unlikely unless he pitches well into his 40s. I think his most impressive counting stat will be strikeouts. He's got a decent shot at 4000, and will easily be among the all time leaders.
Edit: Bill James has a simple career stat projection tool. He gives JV a 7% chance at 4000 Ks. I put 280 for this year, which is what he is on pace for.