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Date Title Body
02/12/2019 - 1:26pm Yes. It did. The quality of…

Yes. It did. The quality of the opponent and, at least in the case of Ohio State, the quality of the QB.

02/09/2019 - 8:32pm Mike Riley made me want to…

Mike Riley made me want to run through a wall right there!!

02/09/2019 - 8:31pm The NFL may have issues. How…

The NFL may have issues. How to market a product is most definitely NOT one of them. These are veteran NFL guys who understand the business of pro football. Does that mean this is a viable league? I have no idea.

02/09/2019 - 8:22pm Beat me by a few seconds!

Beat me by a few seconds!

02/06/2019 - 3:34pm I meant win a Super Bowl…

I meant win a Super Bowl. Not win 11 games in a year.

02/06/2019 - 3:31pm Belichick probably didn't…

Belichick probably didn't get full buy in Day 1 in NE. He was a failed head coach in Cleveland getting a second chance. But Kraft bought into him and his vision quickly and what helped solidify that organization was winning 3 Super Bowls in 4 years in the early 00s. At that point the organization began to built around him and the guys he developed as coaches in-house.

02/06/2019 - 2:13pm I think Belichick wants to…

I think Belichick wants to prove he can do it without Brady. 

There have always been hints in that organization that, while they believe Brady is excellent, they think they can have great success without him.

02/06/2019 - 2:10pm Did Phil Jackson ever win a…

Did Phil Jackson ever win a championship with a less talented team?

Maybe.  And he should get a ton of credit for getting the most out of the teams he did coach in a very ego driven world. Very few people could do what he did.

But he wasn't exactly leading the Clippers for 15 some odd years either.

02/06/2019 - 2:07pm Belichick's guys have a hard…

Belichick's guys have a hard time on their own for a variety of reasons. But the biggest is that most of them only know ONE way to do things: the Patriots / Belichick way. That's fine and dandy when the head coach is in COMPLETE charge of the organization but that is very rare at the NFL level. Most of these guys have to answer to or at least acknowledge GM's and other player personnel people within their organizations. And all organizations, even in the copycat NFL, have different ways of doing business and different cultures. You can't just go into say, Detroit, and start being a bull in a china shop, and state we're going to do it MY way. Too many other people in the Lions' organization don't have a vested interest in that.

It's much easier to "change the culture" in college when the header is really in charge of it all and can much more easily replace the players who don't "buy in."

I think a Belichick assistant would be a fantastic hire for an expansion franchise that wouldn't have to deal with any current culture issues and could build it up from scratch.

02/06/2019 - 1:16pm We have some evidence that…

We have some evidence that this won't be the case. The Patriots are 13-6 in meaningful games Brady did not play in (the 2008 lost season and the suspension a few years ago).

They may decline, but as long as that division continues to be a cesspool they will continue to get to the playoffs with Belichick in charge.

02/06/2019 - 8:35am Immensely respect your…

Immensely respect your opinion Space and as another commenter mentioned you should post / comment more. The blog would be better for it.

I don't disagree with your take about Patterson's ability to read defenses, but I'd argue he's probably never really had to. Didn't he run an RPO heavy offense at Ole Miss? One that I thought he was pretty good at. 

I agree with you that Gattis contribution is probably going to be more along the 1 man reads (RPO like) that proliferate in college, but seem much less emphasized in Michigan's current offense.

02/04/2019 - 1:44pm The defense played by both…

The defense played by both teams was fantastic. And as a defensive guy I enjoyed the chess match between the two oldest (but clearly best) coaches out there in Belichick and Phillips. But even bad offenses find a way to score more than 3 points in a game, particularly in this day and age with the rules the way they are.

The commenter is correct. The Rams offense didn't show up. And while Goff has issues, Sean McVay got completely and utterly exposed last night in the biggest game of his career. I didn't see them attempt anything particularly different. He just assumed he could roll into this game, do very little adjusting and hit everything they typically hit against a Belichick-coached team. Even worse, he panicked when the offense got stuffed and abandoned a lot of his ground game despite it being a 1 score game for virtually the entire game. His offense struggled at points later in the year including the NFC title game and for him not to have some type of backup plan if the game turns into the Bears Part II is just flat out embarrassing.

02/03/2019 - 10:27pm Goff has gotten exposed the…

Goff has gotten exposed the last 6-8 or so games this season. I did think he outplayed Brees last week, but hasn't played that well in months. This was just the final exposure against the best coach of them all with 2 weeks to prepare.

MVP should definitely go to someone on the Patriots defense. 

02/03/2019 - 10:24pm Kudos to New England and…

Kudos to New England and this is a bit of a threadjack, but how is a New England defensive player NOT the MVP of this game? Edelman was clearly the best offensive player in the football game, hands down. But New England just stuffed Sean McVay and his offense to 3 points--the first time that's been done since Landry beat up on Shula 24-3 in Super Bowl VI (in a stadium that no longer exists). I mean really? We can't acknowledge the great defense (really by both teams) in this game by awarding the MVP to a defensive player?

01/28/2019 - 12:56pm Why does anyone care about…

Why does anyone care about college basketball polls? They literally mean nothing because college basketball has this large tournament at the end of the year to determine their national champion. The AP poll isn't even included in those metrics to determine seeding or placement in this tournament.

The sportswriters voting in this poll have spent less time on selecting these teams than this post took to create.

01/27/2019 - 4:24pm This, 100% this. Everyone's…

This, 100% this. Everyone's trying to come up with the perfect format for overtime that matches regular football. Nothing will unless you replay the game. Just the let the tie stand. It worked for nearly 125 years in college football and 50 years in the NFL.

I get that you don't have a choice in the NFL playoffs, college conference championship games, and the CFP. The NFL method while flawed is probably the best of a bad lot.

01/25/2019 - 3:18pm Clearly not enough…

Clearly not enough commenters have experienced the greatness that is driving in Florida--the nexus of bad driving. Take a large first generation American population that didn't grow up driving in the States, especially the farther south you go, and combine it with a large older population many of which shouldn't be driving on any roads period. Add to that the state is a huge tourism destination for not only Americans but for many around the world, and Florida residents that didn't learn to drive in the state in the first place (a lot of transplants). 

What you get is  . . well Florida.

01/25/2019 - 2:59pm Amen FauxMo. Amen.

However,…

Amen FauxMo. Amen.

However, this isn't a Michigan problem. It's a US problem. For whatever reason hanging out in the left lane is acceptable here. If you go to Europe and drive they will run you off the road doing that shit.

01/24/2019 - 2:48pm The Cardinals have been bad…

The Cardinals have been bad for almost the entirety of their existence. They last won the NFL title, back in 1947 when the team was still in Chicago. Red Grange announced the game!!

They went 50+ years without a playoff win between 1947 and 1999.

The Lions have been bad for a long time, but at least they had a substantial peak in the 50s. And the Lions have a substantially better winning percentage.

01/23/2019 - 10:46am So now the program has a…

So now the program has a mishmash of offensive philosophies on offense with the guy (Hamilton) coaching the most important position on the field different from the guy (Gattis) at least theoretically calling the plays.

There's something to be said for trying to collect as much coaching talent as possible. I certainly respect that idea. But I'd probably take less absolute coaching talent and knowledge for the group of coaches who know their scheme inside and out.

01/22/2019 - 8:49pm The 2016 team averaged 40.3…

The 2016 team averaged 40.3 points per game.

The 2018 team average 35.2 points per game.

You can have a serious debate about whether one group was better than the other, but there is at least ONE statistic that points to the 2016 team having a significantly better offense than the 2018 team.

01/20/2019 - 10:23pm What decided this game was…

What decided this game was Dee Ford being massively offside when Brady threw his 3rd interception of the game.

The difference isn't Brady who is an all-world player. The difference is that the Patriots so rarely rarely beat themselves--this year's Pittsburgh game being a noted exception. KC actually made the one play in the 4th quarter to win it only to have them snatch it from themselves. Why is Berry bouncing inside on 3rd and 10? Is he supposed to do that? Or is he doing his own damn thing? I actually don't know, but my guess is the latter giving Gronk an incredibly easy slant play.

The "Do You Job" mantra sounds easy, but the Patriots are the one NFL team that actually fucking does it consistently. That, along with an all-world QB, excellent schemes, and playing in the division of shit is how you get to 9 Super Bowls in 19 years.

 

01/20/2019 - 7:51pm He's definitely not the…

He's definitely not the player he was even 2 or 3 years ago, but in this type of offense (power running, PAP, short passing game) I think he can be very productive for a few more years.

01/20/2019 - 7:11pm This is Pats ball circa 15…

This is Pats ball circa 15 years ago. Outphysical everyone.

01/20/2019 - 7:06pm There were missed calls…

There were missed calls throughout the game. They let them play in the defensive backfield. 

How about the Saints make an easy execution on the first down play and gain 5? Why isn't that play ever going to be remembered?

It's always the refs. Always the refs. Never anyone's fault. The Saints could have won that football and should have won that football game without needing that call. They didn't. That's on them.

01/20/2019 - 6:43pm As someone cheering for the…

As someone cheering for the Saints, the refs didn't cost them the game. They didn't play well on offense. Brees wasn't good and was frankly terrible in the last quarter and OT. Missed open WRs, balls batted down, etc. 

Apparently New Orleans has never seen boot run before because they got embarrassed on that play all game. Wade Phillips adjusted throughout the game, especially on the RB out of the backfield. I didn't see the NO DC adjust--also they couldn't get pressure very much.

You don't want the refs making the deciding calls, then PLAY THE REFS OUT OF THE GAME. 

01/20/2019 - 6:39pm Melissa Etheridge is still…

Melissa Etheridge is still alive??

01/20/2019 - 6:33pm That first down play was…

That first down play was fine. That's an easy throw.

Brees didn't play well. Period. If he plays well, NO wins going away. Instead Goff made the plays.

01/20/2019 - 6:31pm Goff outplayed Brees which…

Goff outplayed Brees which is something I didn't think I would say . . well ever I guess.

And whoever the DC is for New Orleans--you might want to work on stopping fucking boot. That play ate the Saints up and it's pretty damn base shit.

01/16/2019 - 8:39pm He can't get an NFL job…

He can't get an NFL job because he doesn't know Sean McVay.

01/15/2019 - 2:51pm The national title game can…

The national title game can be summed up by Clemson's WRs are much better than Alabama's DBs.

Clemson got into 3rd and 5+ a boatload of times and converted almost all of them. They couldn't really run it. It didn't matter because they just threw it up on 3rd down and made plays.

01/14/2019 - 7:13pm It is a bad metric. Every…

It is a bad metric. Every staff recruits in different ways and quantifying the one coach who might have "closed" is difficult to measure.

I do appreciate the effort in trying to use data and create a metric to determine the recruiting value a coach brings to the table. Unfortunately this particular metric is useless.

01/14/2019 - 7:02pm They were Big Ten champions…

They were Big Ten champions in 2016 and arguably the best team in the league in 2017. They had two 11 win seasons in those years. I don't know how you can argue he has only had 1 good season.

Even last year he had 3 losses by a combined 8 points!! Michigan blew them out. Fuck, it happens. 

01/14/2019 - 6:56pm Actually there is a school…

Actually there is a school that could "own" it and that would be Rutgers. I'd be curious if they did "own" it during the tail end of the Schiano era when they were winning 8 and 9 games every year.

I think Penn State actually did a great job in the 70s and 80s in the state when Rutgers was a complete non-factor and nobody else was really getting into the state.

01/12/2019 - 10:12pm I'm not sure he can develop…

I'm not sure he can develop into something more. I'm by no means an expert on watching the LA Rams, but he looks bad under pressure and doesn't have the footwork or sense to avoid it.

He really is great for this offense. Play action pass where he can sit back and survey the field.

01/12/2019 - 10:08pm Good is fine when you have…

Good is fine when you have all the talent around him. The best RB in the league, maybe the best troika of WRs in the league (I know Kupp is hurt), and an OL that is embarrassing Dallas right now. Is that enough to win a Super Bowl? I think at some point he'll have to make plays on 3rd and long on the road or in the Super Bowl and that's going to be an issue. But hey Foles won it last year so who knows.

I agree with you 100% about letting him go in 2 years. He's probably not going to be good enough to be a difference maker with less talent around him and at some point he would have to deal with that if he stayed (with his higher contract thereby releasing the talent around him).

 

01/12/2019 - 9:48pm If that. Rams ran 45 plays…

If that. Rams ran 45 plays in that half. That Dallas D is completely gassed and it's only halftime. Rams had 20 first downs in the half!!

Maybe a great QB gets them back in the game, but Dak isn't a great QB. A shame because I think Goff is overrated, but it won't show because he doesn't have to do anything in this one.

01/12/2019 - 9:32pm Dallas defense can't stop…

Dallas defense can't stop the damn run. Bad LB eyes and about as physical as toilet paper.

01/12/2019 - 9:23am Your last point is spot on…

Your last point is spot on. Throwing on first down is more successful at the pro level than running it. According to the chart running it on 3rd down is more successful than throwing it regardless of what happened before. As you said, that is very dependent on what happened previously.

I read earlier this year that statistically one of the biggest differences with what offenses were doing to increase scoring was simply passing more on 1st down. 

01/09/2019 - 10:49pm The ineptitude of the non…

The ineptitude of the non-Patriot teams in the NFC East has been a huge edge for New England. They might not beat any of the AFC playoff teams on a neutral field (although the Texans with O'Brien find ways to underperform), but they get the 2 seed and at least one home game because they get a bunch of freebies against the dregs of the NFC East.

Bill Belichick and company are a very well run organization anyway, but when you add in the comparison factor to the shit around them it's like watching Amazon compete against Sears. 

01/08/2019 - 6:44pm So when Kingsbury has a…

So when Kingsbury has a generational QB playing against bad college defenses, he's a stud. Other than that he's finished 28th, 19th, 25th, and 22nd in S&P+. 

Again, I don't think he'd be a great NFL OC, but I could see going in that direction. But from failed Texas Tech coach to NFL head coach with 0 pro coaching experience? That is pretty uncharted territory.

01/08/2019 - 6:32pm Those guys literally cover…

Those guys literally cover 25 years of Texas Tech football from roughly 1985-2010. What's the modern era to you? Even the coaches in the 60s and 70s when the program was "transitioning" from the old Border Conference to the SWC were roughly .500.

Of the 12 or so coaches who've coached the team since 1960 he probably ranks in the bottom 1/3.

01/08/2019 - 6:29pm If the Air Raid isn't a…

If the Air Raid isn't a gimmick offense, I don't know what is.

01/08/2019 - 5:36pm Then why did all these other…

Then why did all these other hotshot coaches from college fail? Guys that actually WON a lot of games in college: Chip Kelly, Steve Spurrier, Nick Saban, Bobby Petrino, Dennis Erickson, Butch Jones, Mike Riley. Most of these guys are within the last 10 years and most of them are offensive coaches.

He went 13-35 in the Big 12 if you don't include I-AA Kansas.

01/08/2019 - 5:28pm He couldn't field a defense…

He couldn't field a defense because he didn't give a shit about it. When he finally wizened up after 4 years and put more resources into his defense, lo and behold, his offenses started to go downhill.

This belief that Texas Tech was fucking Rice before Kingsbury got there needs to be put to bed. Spike Dykes went 57-40-1 in conference play before Leach appeared. Leach went 47-33. He went 19-35. Texas Tech has been solid football program since the mid-80s and a .500 one in SWC play from 1960 to 1980. The guy that drove the bus back towards the Jerry Moore era (yes, that Jerry Moore) of the early 80s is Kliff Kingsbury with an assist from Tuberville.

01/08/2019 - 3:46pm 19-35 in the Big 12. Without…

19-35 in the Big 12. Without the inevitable Kansas wins, he went 13-35 in the Big 12.

There are no words for this hire. I mean none.

If you want him as an OC to mentor Rosen, I get that. I don't think it's great, but that I understand. But to just hand him the keys to your organization with no NFL coaching experience and an underachieving record (at best) at Texas Tech is just "wow."

"Maybe we should give those two guys who have no experience and no ideas, more money."

 

12/31/2018 - 6:24pm I agree 100% except if you…

I agree 100% except if you weren't going to throw it on 3rd down last series, why would you on this series.

12/31/2018 - 6:21pm Lewerke might qualify as the…

Lewerke might qualify as the most disappointing player in the Big Ten in 2018. I thought he would build upon 2017. Instead he took 3 steps back. You have to throw that ball on the FG fuck up. If it's picked it's picked, but give your team a chance.

12/31/2018 - 6:17pm Maybe he shouldn't be a…

Maybe he shouldn't be a future 1st round draft pick if your own coaching staff doesn't trust you in that situation.

Why every 6-4+ guy with some arm talent automatically gets into the short list of top NFL draftable QBs is beyond me.

12/31/2018 - 9:57am Presumption and perception…

Presumption and perception in both your explanations. I'm not saying you're wrong, but nothing in this guy's resume screams FBS college head coach.