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Date Title Body
11/14/2018 - 2:02pm Georgia already played…

Georgia already played Austin Peay and Middle Tennessee State.

LSU already played Louisiana Tech and Southeastern Louisiana Tech.

Alabama played Arkansas St. and Louisiana.

The SEC already got the same number of body-bag games as everyone else, but they threw in another one because nobody stopped them and there is a distinct bias, apparently, toward ranking barely-.500 teams from Kentucky higher than barely-.500 teams from Illinois.

I don't honestly care what the SEC does, but this scheduling has always been a double-dip that the SEC never gets dinged for because...reasons.

11/14/2018 - 1:51pm Maybe, but when you can…

Maybe, but when you can effectively give your starters another week off before a big game, even if both sides get that break, it matters.  If you've got a guy who could really use another week's rest (like Hill with his concussion), playing a cupcake now is way more valuable even if OSU gets to rest guys as well because the marginal benefit to you getting back a healthier star is huge even if it means OSU gets back, say, a healthier backup RB. 

And more generally, playing a "bye" isn't just helpful for a rivalry game, but also for the games that come after.  For example, maybe Tua's ankle feels a bit better with another week off because he won't have to play this weekend, while if they had to play, I don't know, Miss St. this weekend instead, that could hurt their chances against Auburn, then the conference title game, etc.  

11/13/2018 - 9:04pm What the hell does Kentucky…

What the hell does Kentucky need to do to drop out of these rankings?  They're a perfectly fine team, but at some point the committee is going to have to accept that maybe the team that beat Missouri by a point and Vandy by a TD while getting blown out in successive weeks by Georgia (understandable) and Tennessee (less so) isn't a top-20 team.

11/13/2018 - 9:01pm This is my feeling as well. …

This is my feeling as well.  ND makes this huge point of being independent, and that allows them a number of advantages while still getting to be sorta part of the ACC as it suits them.  But there's a real chance they won't play another team that ends the years ranked in the top 25 beyond Michigan, and not playing a conference championship game should be a consideration, especially since their closest comparison is with Michigan.  H2H should matter, but playing a game on the road to start the year isn't gospel about how both teams are playing at the end of the season.

11/13/2018 - 3:10pm Nobody comes off as…

Nobody comes off as particularly sympathetic from this situation.  This does highlight just how terrible MSU's internal investigation really was, as they never seemed to talk to anyone relevant.

11/13/2018 - 7:01am Gruesome injury.  Hopefully…

Gruesome injury.  Hopefully he can recover.  Was playing like a legitimate star.

11/12/2018 - 1:55pm Louisville is down now but,…

Louisville is down now but, historically, they have the ability to recruit Florida and the South well enough to field some pretty good teams.  Since they joined a conference in 1996, they've won 10+ games 5 times and another 5 seasons with 9 wins.  By comparison, Purdue has had 1 10 win season in their entire existence (1979) and 3 9-win seasons since 1996.  The ceiling at Purdue is pretty hard, and I can see a guy from his alma mater and see if he can really make the Cardinals a thing.

11/12/2018 - 1:45pm this is great news, and I…

this is great news, and I think also reminds people that for all the talk about how guys should commit to the school and not the coach, in reality guys like the coaches they talk to and want to play for.  And there's nothing wrong with that.

11/11/2018 - 10:58am Someone's going to be a 10th…

Someone's going to be a 10th assistant coach!

11/11/2018 - 10:57am Harbaugh tried real hard to…

Harbaugh tried real hard to not say "we don't need to run the zone read against Rutgers'" with his response.  

Also, credit to Rutgers for having a couple of wrinkles in their offense.  That was just a solid playcalling on that 80 yard rub, exacerbated by the linebacker reading it wrong.

11/10/2018 - 1:05pm OSU's offensive line is…

OSU's offensive line is terrible.

11/09/2018 - 1:51pm Clemson beat a 5-4 A&M team…

Clemson beat a 5-4 A&M team by 2 points on a fluky-ish finish, by 4 to Syracuse (admittedly with their backup QB), and have played the S&P+ 87, 40, 75, and 104th teams the past 4 weeks (though with NCSU losing to Wake my guess is the 87 will go down a bit and the 40 will go up).  

By comparison, Michigan has beaten the 65, 13, 30, and 12 teams.  I'm not someone who believes whole-heartedly in resume alone, but their schedule is 88th in the country for a reason, and there's a fair argument to be made that until we see their offense go against anything approximating a good defense we don't know how they'll hold up. A&M's is the best they've seen at 30, and they couldn't crack 30 points against them.  For comparison, Michigan has faced at least 4 top-40 defenses just off the top of my head and did pretty well against them.

11/08/2018 - 11:16pm There's a very real chance…

There's a very real chance that Clemson won't play a top-25 team (as ranked at the end of the year) all season, yet there's just this assumption that they're an elite team.  And I think they are a very good team, but much like the SEC it feels like the very top of the conference is probably hiding just how mediocre the middle and bottom are.

11/08/2018 - 8:20pm Rick Neuheisel is not…

Rick Neuheisel is not particularly credible, and this reads more like him just throwing names out there.  If Warinner leaves, then good luck to him.  But he's got a good thing going at Michigan and he could do a LOT better than Kansas if he waited a bit.

11/08/2018 - 3:01pm I got motion sickness riding…

I got motion sickness riding that Maryland yardage chart.  Yeesh.

11/08/2018 - 11:50am Probably a weekend where you…

Probably a weekend where you can get away with it.  FSU has looked like hot garbage multiple times this year, and ND has the type of defense to make it a long night for Francois (or whoever is the starter there anymore).

11/07/2018 - 2:51pm This guy, sure.  But you…

This guy, sure.  But you look at that 2016 class and the three other guys weren't known problems; hell, Michigan was pushing hard for Corley and maybe one other guy.  Some of it is that MSU will always have to take shots at lower-rated guys and, sometimes, those guys are lower rated because of issues off the field.  But Dantonio also seems to run a ship that, at the bare minimum, doesn't overly-correct bad behavior and seems to encourage a certain level of DGAF about rules.  Hell, LJ Scott has been busted numerous times for dumb little things and nothing really happened except he sat out a series against IU last year.  That's a coach thing as much as a program one.

11/07/2018 - 2:46pm "Right people" in this…

"Right people" in this situation being "people who don't protect rapists".  If you have a strong stance against the definition, that's sort of a "you" problem.

11/07/2018 - 2:10pm This will get buried, but…

This will get buried, but good lord is Clemson's schedule a pile of crap.  The assumption that a team that barely got by 6-3 Auburn and, I guess, an overrated NC State team is a clear-cut #2 in the country is highly suspect.

11/07/2018 - 2:05pm The enemy of my enemy is my…

The enemy of my enemy is my friend and all that.  

And honestly, for all the crap we give college athletes and rivals, it's nice to be reminded that they are human beings and can have relationships like this.

11/07/2018 - 2:04pm He should shoot for 2 Davey…

He should shoot for 2 Davey O'Brien awards.

11/07/2018 - 2:03pm Resume S&P+ is a fine, new…

Resume S&P+ is a fine, new metric but Connelly has said a couple of times that while it factors in SOS and scoring margin, it's not perfect and is still a work in progress in computing actual quality of teams.  Like, I wouldn't read too much into a difference of about a point between LSU and OSU; LSU's offense is really not good by any metric, and the spread between their bad offense and fine defense (#13) is a hell of a lot more like 5-4 Miami, Texas A&M, and Purdue than a top-10 team.  So I think the committee is overrating LSU a bit because they beat Georgia and they have a strong preference for SEC teams despite evidence that it isn't a particularly banner year for the conference outside of Alabama.  

11/07/2018 - 10:36am Yeah, the idea that the guy…

Yeah, the idea that the guy who runs chatsports is right a bunch of times is the most counting stat of stats out there.  You say literally a thousand things, a couple will be right . But he is profoundly wrong on so many other things (at one point I think he said DPJ was going to transfer or something insane like that) that I'm not going to give him credit for guessing right sometimes.

11/06/2018 - 7:45pm Sucks to see him leave, but…

Sucks to see him leave, but wish him luck.  He's got talent, and hopefully he'll find a place where he can see the field.

11/05/2018 - 11:32pm The big difference is they…

The big difference is they really don't have a good defense.  The running issues are also a departure, but this is a bad defense, not just a bad defense by OSU standards.

11/05/2018 - 11:29pm It's sort of amazing that…

It's sort of amazing that Watson has gone from "maybe it got late early for him" to a legit top DB in the conference and a record holder.

11/05/2018 - 12:37pm There is a subset of this…

There is a subset of this fanbase that seemed morally offended by him playing poorly against USC.  He's may never going to be a top-tier starter on a championship team, but you can absolutely win football games with him.

11/05/2018 - 12:35pm Looking at Max Preps he…

Looking at Max Preps he recorded stats for all but 3 games, so while not dispositive it does match up.  I sort of hope the reality never comes out (because it's really nobody's business why he left the class), but it would make sense that a kid a year+ out decommits from a top-4 team.

11/05/2018 - 12:25pm You have no info, but just…

You have no info, but just assume a player has checked out and lacks the mental, I don't know, toughness for the team (which is effectively what you said)?

Sometimes I wonder why people think shitting on college athletes is cool just because they're unlikely to actually run into them.

11/05/2018 - 10:14am It's weird to decommit two…

It's weird to decommit two years out for fear of space, but I wish him luck regardless.  Hope the coaches didn't push him out; that's not cool.

11/05/2018 - 8:37am I have no real dog in this…

I have no real dog in this fight but it was nice to hear the diverse views of the candidates, with all focused on improving the school.  That said...

I hope that Brian and co. are just editting the football podcast because it spit such hot fire at Franklin that it had to be sanitized for the internet 

11/04/2018 - 6:33pm I don't fault Bosa one bit,…

I don't fault Bosa one bit, but it is telling that he just left the program completely when he got hurt.  That, to me, says something about how he feels around the OSU staff and team.  It might well be nothing, but a guy basically saying "I don't care about possibly  playing for a national title with this team" isn't innocuous.

11/04/2018 - 6:30pm Revenge tour against the…

Revenge tour against the spread!

11/04/2018 - 6:29pm Fans are idiots, weather and…

Fans are idiots, weather and sports at 11 with your local news!

I think I predicted 10 wins this year, maybe 9 if stuff broke wrong.  But this team has looked markedly better than expected as the year progressed, the rest of the conference got a shade worse, and a lot of things fell into place in terms of weaknesses (i.e. offensive live play and effective bodies at defensive tackle).

11/04/2018 - 6:24pm Nice pickup for a spot that…

Nice pickup for a spot that needs some bodies.

Also it's crazy that, I swear, 4 months ago people were terrified this team wouldn't ever be able to recruit or win in the conference; today they have maybe the best class in the Big 10 and are undoubtedly the best team as well.

11/04/2018 - 1:18pm Fresno is legit.  Not top 7 …

Fresno is legit.  Not top 7 (Bill C has admitted that seems off), but top 15 no doubt.

11/04/2018 - 1:17pm Yeah.  It's amazing how the…

Yeah.  It's amazing how the coaches poll suddenly matches the playoff rankings far more than you'd have expected.

Also, look for one or two low-level SEC/ACC teams to sneak into the bottom of the rankings in a week or two so that Alabama and Clemson have more marquee wins.

11/03/2018 - 11:29pm I have no idea about Clemson…

I have no idea about Clemson.  They house some of these teams in a way that makes me think they're probably elite, and then you remember Louisville gave up 56 to Wake, 66 to GT, etc.  And sure Clemson beat up FSU got run off the field by VT and NC State.  So at this point, my guess is UM is the 2nd or 3rd best team in the country.

11/03/2018 - 11:13pm It's funny - they won by 35…

It's funny - they won by 35 and it feels like they left 10-14 points on the field.  Just an amazing result.

Also, to read PSU fans talk about this game is to imagine a world where Stevens and a blocked kick turns a blowout into a close upset.  Much like in 2016, it's a fanbase that is grappling with the reality that maybe Franklin isn't that great of a coach and unless they've got transcendent talent on the roster he's not winning you anything.  

11/03/2018 - 7:44pm This is the same revisionist…

This is the same revisionist BS you heard about Rocky Lombardi.  Stevens is a large guy who can run a bit; I DARE Franklin to make him the whole offense.

11/03/2018 - 2:13pm OSU has fallen off the damn…

OSU has fallen off the damn cliff defensively.  It's really astounding.

11/02/2018 - 9:59pm I agree about the size…

I agree about the size issues, though if he goes to the outside LB spot it could be mitigated a bit.  He's also pretty fast; maybe not Shazier 4.36 fast, but certainly pretty good for NFL standards.  I also think that the days of guys like Mike Mamula getting a huge combine bump ate over; there is just so much tape on guys that most draft boards are pretty set before they show up in Indy, save for whatever medical or legal issues that might hurt a guy.

11/02/2018 - 5:07pm Great stuff.  I only…

Great stuff.  I only remember reading him in pieces, but his NFL stuff was always solid and data driven in a way no one else was.  We take for granted now guys like Bill Connelly, Kenpom, Torvik, and Ed Feng popping out analytical approaches to college sports, but he was the Bill James of football to a lot of people and it's rough for him to be gone.

11/02/2018 - 5:01pm Sounds about right.  I do…

Sounds about right.  I do remain amazed that PSU has yet to put together an above-average offensive line out there for what feels like a decade.  Even last year most of Barkley's big runs were "I got this" one-man shows.

11/02/2018 - 11:24am McSorley is legit in this…

McSorley is legit in this offense, but it sure looks like the type of offense that hasn't evolved much since last year and can be neutered by, I don't know, an elite defensive coach with 2 weeks to grind his ax.

11/01/2018 - 9:57pm You can read the desperation…

You can read the desperation in his comments this week.  He's already lost to OSU and MSU at home, barely got by Iowa, and is now on the road against a pissed-off Michigan.  This is the type of game where you look back and realize "oh, that's when Franklin's magic ran out."

11/01/2018 - 9:53pm This was posted earlier, and…

This was posted earlier, and the same holds true now as it does then - their model is fine, but when a core part of it is "raw" numbers not accounting for quality of opponent, I am skeptical.

11/01/2018 - 9:51pm I have no problem with UCF…

I have no problem with UCF scoring quickly.  They're really good at it, and I'd rather watch a team be good at something than, I don't know, Wisconsin fart it's way through 4 quarters of mediocre football.

11/01/2018 - 7:46pm I'm fine if he's looking to…

I'm fine if he's looking to apologize for his part in it all.  I think it's BS the NCAA continues to take advantange of athletes, but Webber has always acted like he didn't break the rules and that UM owed him more respect for the Fab 5.  And that's not true.  You can hate the rule but if you break it and you know about it, I have limited sympathy for you on that front.  And he lied to a grand jury about it all, and really at no point has come clean with his role.  Which is his perogative and I don't think should preclude him from being an honorary captain.  But he isn't coming back as some conquering hero who did no wrong, at least in my eyes, and this comment feels like a continuation of his aggrieved schtick that got old years ago.  Though if not, I'd be happy to be wrong.

11/01/2018 - 7:37pm And it was late in the game…

And it was late in the game when Purdue was selling out to get the ball back.  I saw a couple of MSU media types talking him up on Twitter and I couldn't figure out if I was just watching the wrong game.