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03/18/2019 - 5:16pm Texas Tech has a really good…

Texas Tech has a really good defense but, weirdly, I'm not all that worried unless it's paired with a good offense, which TT doesn't really have.  Michigan has played a decent number of top-30 defenses (per KenPom) and mostly done fine against them except MSU; 1.2 ppp vs. UNC, .87 and 1.02 against Wisconsin, 1.25 against NW, 1.05 vs. PSU, 1.05 vs. OSU, 1.02 and 1.19 against Maryland,and 1.25 and 1.07 vs. IU.  Yes, those aren't peel-their-faces-off numbers in most of those games, but Michigan's offense really doesn't get that bogged down against good defenses any more than you'd expect from mortal offenses.  I think we're so used to Michigan bombing teams into the stone age with record-breaking offenses that sometimes just having a pretty good one is considered a failing. 

But Michigan can win in a rock fight against TT.  Other than the time they hung 91 on Kansas in a crazy game, they barely broke 1 ppp against a top-30 defense they played all season.  FSU scares the crap out of me because they seem capable of winning such a game, but that's deep enough into the tourney it's hard to get worried yet.

03/18/2019 - 5:02pm Yeah.  He's the size of an…

Yeah.  He's the size of an end and while he doesn't seem to have that much explosiveness, as a guy who just needs to hold up at the point of attack he's not a bad option.

03/18/2019 - 3:42pm Doesn't surprise me if he…

Doesn't surprise me if he leaves, though I think he'll wind up starting somewhere else and being a good player.  

03/18/2019 - 3:40pm Bradley, baby!

But…

Bradley, baby!

But seriously, Florida as a 10 seems under-seeded and could make a run if Michigan messed up.  But beyond that, Murray St. has a dominant, NBA-ready player on their roster.  Come tourney time, those guys can take over games to a degree that can carry a squad.  And OSU, warts and all, probably would have been seeded higher if Wesson hadn't been suspended those last couple of games.  They are probably a bit better than your average 11 seed.

03/18/2019 - 3:22pm Per KenPom, Poole's TO rate…

Per KenPom, Poole's TO rate is worse than the other starters save Simpson, and in Simpson's case I get that because he's assisting on so many plays.  Poole having a usage rate of around 21% and only getting about 2 assists a game is not great; you can debate "black hole" if you want, but for a guy who should be driving and has a legit outside shot he doesn't really get the ball to other players on the team.  I'd say Matthews and Iggy are also black holes, but we knew that.  Also, his "3 assists per game in the BTT" comes from the fact he had 7 against Minny.  He had 3 against everyone else.  That's why people don't like averages.

Also, the idea he's "heaving hail marys" to save the offense is ignoring the fact he isn't doing much else the other 20-ish seconds the team is trying to run their offense.  This isn't a knock against Poole, but his game is still immature and he's prone to launching ill-advised shots because he feels like he either has to or is getting a bit trigger-happy.  It's telling his best game overall in the tourney was against Minny where he picked his spots and found open guys.  

I think Poole is a good player, but pointing out how he's struggled recently and hasn't taken a huge leap isn't hating on him or being ridiculous.

03/18/2019 - 2:55pm There might be depth issues…

There might be depth issues at LB but I doubt Mason factored in there.  This feels like a tacit acknowledgement that they don't have a ton of DL depth and might need to spell a couple of guys.

03/18/2019 - 2:54pm It seems like a lot of…

It seems like a lot of schools sort of want medical issues overseen by their staffs, which makes sense.  But yeah, it's a little funny they basically told him to wait until they got him on campus.

03/18/2019 - 2:53pm Wish him luck.  Seemed like…

Wish him luck.  Seemed like he could never quite get reps and was passed by younger guys.  When he signed I remember he seemed like a guy who could be a really solid college player but not an NFL-type (due to his size), but it never quite worked out.

03/18/2019 - 12:57pm You could write this about…

You could write this about anyone.  It's cute, but largely based on a rudimentary understanding of a team. Saying "UM is a bad offensive rebounding team", for example, sort of ignores the fact that's part of their style and that Montana isn't some insane offensive rebounding team.  And UM is decently good at defending offensive reboundsYou could find almost anything wrong with a team and highlight it as something the other team could exploit.

It's not a gimme, but in an article where they say "Nevada has lost 3 of their last 8" and those losses being against good teams and then whistle past Montana having lost 2 of their last 7 against teams that aren't particularly good (even relatively speaking).  Also, Nevada lost a close game to SDSU, a #8 seed, and they lost two games to SDSU; it might just be they have a SDSU problem.

Montana is going to be a tough team, but so is Bradley, Colgate, and Abilene Christian.  Colgate is a really solid offensive team that can rebound and can get into a fire fight with Tennessee and keep pace for a while.  Bradley beat PSU and, more generally, are pretty old and experienced; they won't be rattled playing against MSU and should have a decent contingent of fans there to cheer them on.  Albilene Christian is another super-experienced and older team that got blown out by TT but otherwise acquitted themselves fine this year.  2/15 matchups can always spring upsets, and this year is no different.

03/18/2019 - 12:04pm My guess is the off-ball…

My guess is the off-ball action has diminished somewhat because there isn't as much scoring on the wings as they've had in the past.  It's not that they don't have some shooters but they are (somewhat) unevenly distributed.  UM's best offenses featured a good-shooting PG and/or a big man who can shoot from outside.  They don't really have that, and so teams can cheat back from Simpson and cut off a lot of those passing lanes that cuts can exploit.  

Davis and Brooks have underwhelmed, though Brooks you can at least play.  He's not going to help you a ton, but he's around a replacement-level PG.  Davis you really can't leave out there.

I don't think Beilein has "forgotten" how to coach the offense; I think he's got a more limited set of players than in years past and he's done a pretty good job rolling out a top-20 offense with it.  It will probably limit their ability to make a deep run, but it's also a bit of hyperbole to act like they have fallen off the map offensively.

03/18/2019 - 11:42am I think they try to but, of…

I think they try to but, of course, the defense tries to stop them.  And honestly, Michigan's offense does lack as dynamic inside-out game as they used to have; Teske is great but Moe was a different animal offensively and (along with MAAR) that dynamic is missing in this offense.  

ISO ball works in spurts, especially as a change-of-pace.  But it doesn't really work (IMO) unless you either have an elite finisher OR a friendly whistle.  Michigan really doesn't have that now, and only infrequently did so in the past (Burke, Stauskas, late Walton).

03/18/2019 - 9:17am Iggy is their best 1:1…

Iggy is their best 1:1 player, but he doesn't have great change of direction so teams can corral him.  Matthews has a decent mid range game but he can run himself out of good  shots and has TO issues as well. Poole doesn't have a great handle/doesn't take great care of the ball (14.4 TO rate), so asking him to go against s guy heads up isn't a given.  And since he's sort of a black hole when it comes to assists, you can't necessarily ask him to carry the offense.

This team doesn't have a MAAR or Walton who can get his shot late, and it hurts.

Also, you might want to go back to the drawing board if you are going to chastise people for being couch potatoes and your big revelation is Michigan could either win it all or lose to someone.

03/17/2019 - 11:53pm Neither is Michigan.  Losing…

Neither is Michigan.  Losing to either of those two teams wouldn't be crazy.

03/17/2019 - 11:52pm It feels pretty chalky. …

It feels pretty chalky.  Gonzaga is really good but I could see them slip up against Syracuse just because that's a weird defense they probably haven't seen uch before (same with UM against Nevada, though I tend to trust UM in games where the opposing team has a mediocre defense and great offense versus a TT-type team that is defense-first and an okay offense).

The East looks tough, though my guess is Duke struggles somewhat more than people expect against a possible Va Tech Sweet 16 game.  But MSU basically has to get by Louisville and then they are on to the Elite 8; I have no faith in LSU especially as they continue to look for a coach.  

UVa got a great bracket for them, though good lord is it going to be ugly.  Cincy will probably come out of the bottom half.  Midwest feels like UNC-UK all the way.  Just the two best teams by a pretty clear margin.

Gun to my head I think UM loses in the Elite 8 because of something goofy against Gonzaga, but if they get a break and play, I don't know, FSU or Marquette then all bets are off.  I don't see them getting past Duke unless Zion gets hurt again.

03/17/2019 - 10:06pm If you take Poole off the…

If you take Poole off the court then they really don't have another guy who can handle the ball all that effectively and Livers is very much a shooter only offensively at this point in his career (2/3rd of this shots this year are from 3).  Poole, for all his warts, generates more offense than a lineup with Livers would more times than not.  

What would be better would be in Brooks could improve his shooting so that UM could sometimes roll out a lineup with Livers, Iggy, Poole, Brooks and Simpson/Matthews, which gives you 4 legit shooters and still don't sacrifice a lot with ball handling and defense.

03/17/2019 - 9:59pm I don't think the team is …

I don't think the team is "bad" at adversity; they haven't lost 2 games in a row all year, something few teams can claim.  That's a sign of a team that can handle a bad beat and bounce back.  They've struggled against MSU and that's a credit to the Spartans.  But we're also talking about a sample size of 3 games.  And it feels like we magnify errors on one side while ignoring others, which is understandable but not necessarily instructive.  I mean, MSU had 9 turnovers and anyone not named McQuaid couldn't get a shot from outside to save his life.  This game plays out differently and we're maybe talking about how guys like Goins and Winston underperformed in a big game and cost their team.

Michigan probably won't win the NCAA tournament; that's true for 67 teams.  They've got flaws that can't be papered over.  But I also think that they have had a big MSU problem these past couple of weeks that may not be as prevalent against other teams they'll likely see this post season. 

03/17/2019 - 8:51pm MSU is probably the better…

MSU is probably the better team this year, though the gap isn't all that significant.  Credit to them for winning; I actually find this year's team (without Ward) to be pretty interesting to watch.  If Izzo wasn't the coach (and CONSTANTLY making excuses for everything), I wouldn't particularly mind losing to them.

03/17/2019 - 8:43pm I mean, out east UM is…

I mean, out east UM is probably the most prominent team along with (maybe) PSU and Maryland.  And in terms of alumni to show up it's no contest.  That's why I never understood people getting made the game in MSG; it sucks for IU or MSU, but it's a home game for UM.

03/17/2019 - 8:40pm If they seeded per ranking,…

If they seeded per ranking, sure.  But they don't, as witnessed by teams like Houston and KSU being demonstrably off-seeded per their rankings.

Nevada looks better than the #25 team in the country to me, especially when you've got teams like Maryland and Miss. St seeded ahead of them.

03/17/2019 - 8:36pm I think every bracket is…

I think every bracket is pretty even.  I know people like to treat one as demonstrably harder than the other, but in a week we'll see a couple double-digit seed upsets and a top-ranked team lose a key player and it'll all even out.

Anybody wanting Gonzaga surprises me.  The Zags aren't dominant but they are absolutely a top draw and could win it all if they can keep scoring like they have all year.

03/17/2019 - 7:37pm That's not remotely how the…

That's not remotely how the seeding works.  KSU, #24 in NET, is a 4 seed; Houston, #4 in NET, is a 3 seed.  Teams get seeded for a number of reasons that have little to do with their quality or competency, and personally I think Nevada is underseeded as is, frankly, Cincy, another 7 seed that looks better than that seed line.

03/17/2019 - 7:22pm That's one of the advantages…

That's one of the advantages UM has over smaller/less national schools; they have alumni EVERYWHERE, and they'll show up for those games.  While some teams probably want the regional proximity for home court and (as we saw with MSU) get screwed a bit with the opponents, you can put UM basically anywhere and they'll draw in support.  

03/17/2019 - 7:16pm I can see it now too:

I can see it now too:

Michigan romps Montana, beats Nevada, then cruises by Texas Tech

northernmich enjoys the wins and hopes nobody looks at posting history, then defends it by saying "I was just being realistic".

Yes, Michigan could barely beat the ... #25 team per KenPom/#23 team per NET inexplicably seeded as a #7 seed.  That would be fine.  

But whatever, it's weird that anyone would want to post about how a team they ostensibly root for will lose, even if it's some weird cathartic self-protection, but that's your choice.   

03/17/2019 - 3:31pm Brooks is fine, but he's had…

Brooks is fine, but he's had 2 years to secure a larger role as a backup and hasn't.  That isn't an indictment of him, and he absolutely earned the starts he got last year.  But Beilein clearly wasn't dying to give DDJ minutes this year but had to because there was nobody behind Simpson.

He's a fine player, but I'm not sold he's above replacement and thus I can see DDJ, with a higher upside, taking those minutes.

03/17/2019 - 3:24pm My guess is Iggy or Poole…

My guess is Iggy or Poole leaves, but probably not both. But people acting like Iggy is a BYU kid who is 24 and has 4 kids are overreaching.  He's not a given to be drafted and another year in college could do him wonders, especially if it tightens up his drives a bit.  

I think a lot depends on their March run.  If someone gets hot and plays well, I could see him being mentioned in the bottom of the first round.  But at this point it would surprise me if there was massive attrition

03/17/2019 - 3:21pm My guess is UNC takes a #1…

My guess is UNC takes a #1 from Gonzaga and then the BTT winner takes the final #1.  

03/17/2019 - 1:07pm Like the said, he was coming…

Like the said, he was coming into his own before the injuries.  Not a bad pickup by the Jags.

03/17/2019 - 11:56am Kenny Goins is sort of…

Kenny Goins is sort of astounding to me.  Some of it (I'm sure) is being 22 and just maturing, but he's been a huge offensive player for them.  Winston has been, honestly, pretty average (for him) these past two weeks or so, but Goins has something like a 130 ORTG over that span.  If Michigan can bring him back to earth a bit that would be huge.

Also, expect injuries to again be a storyline MSU fans and media harp on.  I saw legit news sources talk about Langford's absence and it's effect on the team, and he hasn't played for months now.  Similarly, Ahrens missing a couple of minutes with a bad back and Winston being slowed because Izzo ran him ragged for the whole season are also treated as massive trials.

03/16/2019 - 8:42pm Yeah, I don't think Gonzaga…

Yeah, I don't think Gonzaga is an elite team by any means, but they beat a fully operational Duke and have an elite offense.  They feel a lot like UVa in that their tourney performances may underwhelm compared to the regular season, but they are absolutely a top-5 team.

03/16/2019 - 8:19am I never quite understood the…

I never quite understood the real fear people had about playing Iowa; it seemed based almost exclusively on that loss early in the year because on paper they looked sort of like the team UM just ran off the court last night.

Great to see Matthews back on the court, and you could tell the rotation was a little less strained because of his presence.

Minny will be tough.  Carsen Edwards was their MVP last night but they played well and certainly can't be overlooked.  But this feels like an inevitable rematch with MSU coming up, provided Wisconsin doesn't pull the upset.

03/15/2019 - 3:40pm It's a little infuriating…

It's a little infuriating watching Winston.  Yes he's a good player, but I other than when he's played UM he hasn't looked all that good recently.  Over the last 10 games he's shooting 54% from 2, 29% from 3, and has a 2.2:1 A/TO ratio.  Those are fine numbers, but by comparison "offensively limited" Zavier Simpson is shooting 50% on 2pt, 27% from 3, and has a 2.7:1 A/TO rate over that same span.  And yes, Winston is shooting more but not insanely more (132 total shots compared to 89).  And Simpson has more steals and rebounds.  But Winston has shot an astounding 66 free throws, and while some of those are end-of-game ones it's still pretty crazy that about a third of his points the past 10 games came from the charity stripe.  

This isn't to discredit him, only that it's very on-brand for MSU to play really well against UM and be decidedly meh against everyone else.

03/15/2019 - 12:57pm Oh look, Tom Izzo is…

Oh look, Tom Izzo is complaining loudly on the sideline and causing the refs to make BS calls.  

I would love nothing more than for some bench guy on OSU to just run him over when he's on the court.  

03/15/2019 - 12:54pm People keep saying Iowa is a…

People keep saying Iowa is a bad matchup but it's mostly based on the idea that they'll score a ton of points and Michigan can't shoot over a zone, but that feels highly unlikely to occur.  Michigan had it's absolute worst shooting performance of the year and still was in a game, and I'm optimistic that won't happen again.

It's going to be a tough game because the conference as a whole is tough, but this doesn't feel appreciably tougher of a game.

03/15/2019 - 12:21pm The thing about Ward is that…

The thing about Ward is that he was barely an above-average offensive player and he was demonstrably worse defensively than Tillman.  And Tillman has been much better offensively in-conference than Ward while still maintaining solid defensive numbers.  So yeah, Izzo was splitting time between the two and when Ward went out he was able to slot Tillman into more minutes and that makes the team, overall, better.

Yes, Brian comes across poorly when he complains about MSU on everything, but Izzo has shown an IMMENSE stubbornness over the years and so his worse tendencies were altered because of an injury.

03/14/2019 - 10:53pm It would be immensely…

It would be immensely impractical for boosters to plop down crazy money for 2-3 years of a HS player.  But if that happened, so be it.  Who would get hurt?

03/14/2019 - 10:38pm Then what are the unintended…

Then what are the unintended consequences do you foresee?  People always trot out the "slippery slope" and "unintended consequences" warnings but rarely provide details of their concerns.  Because the only concern you've mentioned is some existential personal "enjoyment" of the games, which sounds like some rationalized bullshit.

The status quo means a ton of people tangentially related to the sport get paid gobs of money, the athletes get very little or have to get it through dubious means, and fans are forced to sit through interminable commercials, branded "experiences", and oversized noodles parked in front of stadiums.  Since #1 and #3 aren't going anywhere, might as well let athletes get a piece while keeping it above-board.

  

03/14/2019 - 10:38pm Then what are the unintended…

Then what are the unintended consequences do you foresee?  People always trot out the "slippery slope" and "unintended consequences" warnings but rarely provide details of their concerns.  Because the only concern you've mentioned is some existential personal "enjoyment" of the games, which sounds like some rationalized bullshit.

The status quo means a ton of people tangentially related to the sport get paid gobs of money, the athletes get very little or have to get it through dubious means, and fans are forced to sit through interminable commercials, branded "experiences", and oversized noodles parked in front of stadiums.  Since #1 and #3 aren't going anywhere, might as well let athletes get a piece while keeping it above-board.

  

03/14/2019 - 11:14am The problem with bubble…

The problem with bubble teams is that their Q1 records are almost always bad; if they were better, they wouldn't be on the bubble.  This isn't some great insight, but it makes looking at the top-line results tough.  Honestly, I'm more impressed by A because they had the "best" loss and seemed pretty consistent at beating teams like them or worse.  B got a couple more shots at Q1 wins and won them but struggled to beat Q2 teams; B is obviously IU so you're rewarding them for being good to start the year and beating MSU twice.  That doesn't feel like a good enough resume to me pending how they do in the BTT.  

A and C feel like the two best candidates to me.

03/12/2019 - 11:39pm OBJ gives them a huge weapon…

OBJ gives them a huge weapon downfield for Mayfield, and they'll be dangerous in a division that definitely looks winnable with Cincy, Pittsburgh, and Baltimore all trending down or, at best, steady.  I do wonder if their success can carry over next year; they were in a ton of close games last season and sometimes you trend up the following year or you simply settle into playing a lot of close games and winning about half of them.

Their offense should be really good next year with Mayfield, Chubb, and the receivers; their defense played better as the year progressed but they also have some holes in their secondary (I think Ward is the only cornerback they know is back for next year) and then removed a pretty good player in Peppers.  

It'll be interesting.  I will say that OBJ is a great talent but he underwhelmed versus expectations the last two years.  Some of that is due to injury and a decent amount is due to having the desicated corpse of Eli Manning wobbling balls to him, but it's not a given he's going to walk right in and be a top-3 receiver.

03/12/2019 - 8:39pm For the record, while I've…

For the record, while I've gotten a laugh out of this whole situation, it is depressingly sad for a ton of people.  Kids who got admitted who actually thought they did so on merit, the various student-athletes who now need to deal with the illegitimacy questions around their sports, and the numerous worthy students who got turned away so that the "social media influencer" daughter of someone from Full House could fuck around in college while getting sponsored by Amazon.  It's terrible, and should remind everyone complaining about "we don't need to play athletes" that literally everyone else is getting a piece of the pie, even in sports that don't generate the income.

Also, for anyone claiming "this just shows how bad it's gotten" regarding athletics and academics, this has been going on for EONs.  It was probably a bit better hidden/more socially ingrained so nobody noticed or cared, but this type of preference for the wealthy elites isn't new.

03/12/2019 - 8:39pm For the record, while I've…

For the record, while I've gotten a laugh out of this whole situation, it is depressingly sad for a ton of people.  Kids who got admitted who actually thought they did so on merit, the various student-athletes who now need to deal with the illegitimacy questions around their sports, and the numerous worthy students who got turned away so that the "social media influencer" daughter of someone from Full House could fuck around in college while getting sponsored by Amazon.  It's terrible, and should remind everyone complaining about "we don't need to play athletes" that literally everyone else is getting a piece of the pie, even in sports that don't generate the income.

Also, for anyone claiming "this just shows how bad it's gotten" regarding athletics and academics, this has been going on for EONs.  It was probably a bit better hidden/more socially ingrained so nobody noticed or cared, but this type of preference for the wealthy elites isn't new.

03/12/2019 - 11:40am I was hoping it was for USC,…

I was hoping it was for USC, as that is apparently just a first year's tuition.

03/12/2019 - 11:38am Man, DeVry and University of…

Man, DeVry and University of Phoenix are going to get sanctioned back into the Stone Age for this.

03/11/2019 - 11:03pm Definitely a bit of a …

Definitely a bit of a "betting on yourself" contract if it's only for a year, but Funchess is a solid receiver and could be used like Ebron was this year for them.  He's also able to stretch the field a bit more.

03/11/2019 - 10:56pm Reaves is a good defender; I…

Reaves is a good defender; I wouldn't have given him DPOY but I can see the argument about a guy who is a ballhawk and a bit of a chase down blocker on a team that doesn't have much other defensive talent around him.  But Matthews not making all-defense is insane to me.

03/11/2019 - 3:00pm That Iowa team wasn't the…

That Iowa team wasn't the one that's been playing the last couple of weeks, and you noted we can't judge teams from holistically but only on their performance recently.

Also, you didn't really answer how they're a "bad matchup".  That's Brian's line, which seems based on the idea that they have a lot of tall guys who can sorta shoot and have some depth.  Of course, they are atrocious on defense (the worst in the conference by a healthy margin) and their offense has scuttled recently, so even the "good" part of their team has been underwhelming recently.  Also, Iowa only averaged about a point per possession in their game against UM; what did UM in was only scoring .83 ppp.  That seems like an outlier to me for a team whose offense is basically equal to Iowa's from an analytical standpoint.  

Michigan lost to MSU twice.  That's been in it.  They beat Maryland; a top-25 team, rather handily.  Going farther back, they handily beat Minnesota on the road and Wisconsin at home.  Again, if you want to recency bias this argument then by honest about it and internally consistent, because otherwise you post stuff like "Iowa's a bad matchup" (1-5 in their last 6) with "Michigan is scuttling" when they've lost to MSU twice and basically taken care of business everywhere else.

I don't have an issue with people with logical criticisms of UM sports.  But you have to be intellectually honest.  I don't think this team can win a national title; they'll likely bow out somewhere on the second weekend.  That's fine, and I can give you a lot of reasons why that's the case.  You were the person whose first post was "they're going to struggle against Nebraska and everyone here will complain and then others will tell them to stop and blah blah blah", then when called out for that being a weird first impression you went on some slog about how you never knew about the site, then sorta did but didn't, etc.  It all leads to me not really trusting your motives, and your overall discussion and takes are pretty surface-level and reactive.  Which is fine; everyone can feel how they want.  But I'm simply disagreeing and asking for some rationale for your views.  You called them mentally soft and a team that can't play division 1 offense, which again is hilariously wrong and lazy and all the stuff I said.  So yes, by all means keep dropping those hot takes, but don't be surprised if someone points out how dumb and lazy they are.  Whether or not that makes you a "troll" is up to you.

 

 

03/11/2019 - 2:12pm Tillman exposes a problem…

Tillman exposes a problem the team has with Simpson shooting, and as noted teams they can exploit that will.  But it would also have been nice to see Simpson try to initiate contact a bit with Tillman and see if he can get a whistle.  It's not optimal, but in another game where both PGs are getting the same contact fouls then that's maybe a way to get MSU out of it.

What did stand out to me was UM without Matthews misses what MAAR gave them last year: an end-of-clock guy who can generate a decent scoring opportunity.   A lot of these stretches of bad play against MSU happen when the ball just gets moved around the perimeter and then a shot goes up late.  Matthews can get a decent jumper over MSU defenders or, because of that threat, maybe springs someone else.  Having him back will likely help some of the offensive issues the team has shown against MSU, even if overall I don't think he'd demonstrably "unlock" the offenses potential.  It's a pretty good offense that pales in comparison to the murderball units UM has had before.

03/11/2019 - 12:15pm It's the #18 offense in the…

It's the #18 offense in the country.  It lacks a definite shooter like Wagner or late Walton, but it definitely do not suck.  They just happened to play two top-20 defenses in 3 of the last 4 games.

03/11/2019 - 12:11pm I'm sure this would shock…

I'm sure this would shock you, but Michigan is currently the #18 offense in the country and the #2 defense per KenPom  They are one of 8 teams in the country with top-20 rankings in both.  Michigan has never done that before, and their offense is ranked higher now that it was around December.  They've just played tougher teams.

There is this weird contingent of posters (a good number of them are either contrarian for it's own sake or intellectually dishonest) who want to be negative about UM sports because they find it easier than being critical and thoughtful.  Because of they are correct and UM loses, they can trumpet their foresight.  And if UM wins, they can just enjoy it and not draw attention to their takes.  So by all means keep telling yourself you don't see UM beating Iowa and losing early in March Madness, but don't get mad when people question the effort put into those claims.

03/11/2019 - 12:03pm Iowa is also 1-5 in their…

Iowa is also 1-5 in their last 6, and the two wins before that were those crazy games against NW and Rutgers.  Yes they need wins, but they also aren't really playing like a team that can get them.  It's not a great matchup, but sometimes a team is just bad and their earlier run can't be expected to return.