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Date Title Body
02/14/2019 - 11:28am I’d assume it means that you…

I’d assume it means that you pay money to someone who ranks players to rank your kid a bit higher.  People do it with Amazon reviews, why not do it with athletic rankings?

02/13/2019 - 12:01am We’ve had a lot of refs more…

We’ve had a lot of refs more than 3 times, so I don’t really think that’s the issue.  

His officiating, on the other hand, is the issue.

02/12/2019 - 11:44pm I try not to be a conspiracy…

I try not to be a conspiracy theorist, but for all of Michigan’s losses to have been significantly affected by officiating, and for there to be a common denominator in all of those crews, and for that same official to have not been present for any win outside of a tuneup opener (which was honestly a closer game than openers should go), and I can’t help but wonder, and get so angry as to write run-on sentences!

02/05/2019 - 6:53pm The offense lost us Notre…

The offense lost us Notre Dame, the defense Ohio, and I think Florida was a joint effort.  The defense gave up too many points, but the the wheels came off in the second half, after the offense got only 10 points through 3 quarters, with one field goal coming off a 0-yard drive.

02/01/2019 - 2:02pm Right now it feels like…

Right now it feels like there is a top tier of 6 teams.  One of those is MSU, who we’re not going to draw in the regionals.  If we’re a 2-seed, we’re virtually guaranteed to draw one of Duke, UVA, Gonzaga, or Tennessee.  Of the four I’d pick Tennessee.  If we’re a 1-seed, the hope needs to be that we draw a 2-seed out of this top 6 tier.

But really when you’re a top-2 seed and you’re worried about which other top seed you want to avoid, the pickings become slim, because of course those teams are all about equally good.  At the same time, odds are one or both of you won’t make it to the Round of 8 where you would match up, so it’s a bit of wasted energy worrying that far along in the bracket.

02/01/2019 - 10:08am If Duke’s region is DC, I’d…

If Duke’s region is DC, I’d be happy to be the #2.  We’d have a good turnout here, myself included!

01/31/2019 - 12:18pm Nebraska is actually rather…

Nebraska is actually rather good, currently #23 in KenPom, although trending down now that they’re without their Isaac Copeland for the rest of the season.

01/30/2019 - 3:38pm Yeah, that makes some sense…

Yeah, that makes some sense.  I’ll try come up with a different KenPom stat tonight that still says our defense is on pace to be the best in 20 years.

01/30/2019 - 11:09am Well, Beilein has clearly…

Well, Beilein has clearly had the conversation with someone about leaving next year, as he has signed two player a to letters of intent with only one open scholarship.  As Matthews tested the NBA waters last spring and regularly shows up in mock drafts, it’s a pretty safe guess he’s going pro barring some unforeseen, and probably rather negative, circumstances.

And he should.  He’s an NBA-caliber defender who can shoot well enough off the catch and can slash to the rim.  Creating his own shot and shots for others is probably not his role as a pro, but there’s definitely room for him to carve out a solid career at the next level.

01/30/2019 - 10:57am Matthews is not our 4th-best…

Matthews is not our 4th-best player.  He could get minutes on a bad NBA-team this year, and if they were a smart but bad NBA team, they’d be very excited to discover they had the next Andre Roberson.  We’re very lucky he was not invited to the combine last spring.

01/30/2019 - 10:48am Obviously Yaklich has had a…

Obviously Yaklich has had a major impact on the defense, but the key defenders (Matthews, Simpson, and Teske) were all on campus waiting for him.  Beilein appeared to alter some of his recruiting tendencies in advance of this defensive renaissance, and then found an assistant who could maximize the talent on the team.

In fact, it’s a very Beilein thing to do.  For decades he ran offenses that relied on 5-out strategies, launching threes because they were more efficient than twos, and could recruit overlooked players with that skill.  Now that the rest of basketball has finally caught up to him, he’s finding players who are overlooked because they are NOT shooting threats, and is lapping the field on defense instead of offense.

01/30/2019 - 2:19am At 83.8, we now have the all…

At 83.8, we now have the all-time (going back to 2002) best Adj Def in KenPom.  There’s still a lot of basketball to be played, but this defense is historic.

01/29/2019 - 12:40pm I’m sorry, are there still…

I’m sorry, are there still actual complainers who aren’t Sparty concern-trolls?  And if so, do you believe they actually know anything about basketball?  This is our best team since the 1992-1993 Fab Five squad.  Ignore the trolls, don’t feed them.

01/09/2019 - 9:37am I’m looking forward to South…

I’m looking forward to South Carolina beating Tennessee at home at the end of the month.

01/08/2019 - 11:27am I think he recruited Shea…

I think he recruited Shea pretty heavily.

01/03/2019 - 8:46am He didn't "jump right in" to…

He didn't "jump right in" to a college assistant coaching job.  He was a student assistant at a D-1 program (Oregon State) and then had an analyst job in the NFL with a Super Bowl champion (Ravens) for three years.

Yes, he got the above opportunities in part (perhaps large part) because his last name is Harbaugh, but he didn’t go straight from his dorm room to being an assistant coach.

12/24/2018 - 8:51pm I’d just like to remind you…

I’d just like to remind you that Purdue isn’t a non-conference game.

12/17/2018 - 5:36pm Underclassmen with mid-round…

Underclassmen with mid-round grades head to the nfl frequently.  Over 100 entered the draft with eligibility remaining last year, and a over third weren’t even drafted at all.  About another 3rd were drafted in the 4th round or later.

Ultimately we’ll see how many kids leave early, but I don’t think we’ll see more than one surprise.  There may be something going on internally, and there may not be.  But a 5-10% attrition isn’t a crazy number in a given year.  3% of the student body at large leaves after their first year, and near 10% don’t make it through to a degree.

12/16/2018 - 10:55am Michigan has a separate…

Michigan has a separate School of Music, Theatre, and Dance.  It has a completely difference admissions process than LSA.  It awards BFAs and B. Mus to undergrads, as opposed to BAs and BS, and only about 1/4 of your classes are liberal arts classes taken with LSA students.  It’s a terrific institution, but it’s also not the correct datapoint for saying that students with performing talents have lower standardized test admission standards, because they aren’t applying to the same school as everyone else.

And sure, athletes could technically be admitted into that school instead of LSA, but as a holder of a Bachelor in Music, I can’t imagine being able to align a rehearsal and performance schedule with practices and games for a major college athletic program.

11/30/2018 - 10:32am BPIs failing is that it…

BPIs failing is that it relies too heavily on ESPN recruiting rankings for its preseason projections.  I think overall it’s okay when it catches up, but for a team that lost a lot of production from the prior year, and was replacing it with primarily unranked 3 and 4-stars that had little or no college performance to project from, it is going to doubt us until we have even more of the season behind us.

11/27/2018 - 1:27pm 2022 is the earliest one-and…

2022 is the earliest one-and-done will be gone, according to the latest statements by Silver.  Ultimately I don’t think it will happen until 2023.  It’s something that has to be agreed upon by the league and the players association, and while both sides indicate that they want it, I think it gets pushed back to the next CBA renegotiations, which will begin during the 2022-2023 season.

I’d doubt he comes to Michigan, as he’s already apparently talking about other schools.  But I do think he’ll spend a year in college somewhere.

11/24/2018 - 10:58am Currently watching at my…

Currently watching at my football-hating in-laws in Albany NY.  If anyone has any Capital District recommendations in the next hour, I’d welcome them!

11/24/2018 - 10:57am Please keep your mind-hands…

Please keep your mind-hands off Harbaugh, unless it’s to hold him back from getting too far onto the field for his obligatory 15-yard penalty.

11/18/2018 - 8:23am According to this week’s…

According to this week’s recruiting roundup he’s only been playing organized football for two years.  This means he’s both raw and not very scouted, which both explain rankings that might not coincide with a 6’8 OT who’s getting major football offers.

11/14/2018 - 11:25pm Even beating a top 30-35…

Even beating a top 30-35 team by 25+ on the road is still incredibly impressive, and something done by s team that is more likely than not one of the elite teams in a season.

11/11/2018 - 6:39pm Not a professional opinion,…

Not a professional opinion, but he seems like the type of person who is more likely to hurt someone else than himself.  Which of course doesn’t make what you said any less serious, but I’d be more worried what he would do to other people than to himself.

11/11/2018 - 10:48am Related to this game, the…

Related to this game, the Hall of Fame Tip-off bracket is a joke.  Our next opponent is GW, in the featured bracket, despite their losing BOTH of the regional games, to Stony Brook and Siena.  Stony Brook also beat South Carolina.  

I know that’s how these regional brackets have tended to work in these tournaments, but if you go 0-2, at home, while a team you lost to goes 2-0, you should be relegated.

11/10/2018 - 9:25pm I wouldn’t.  Purdue was 9-39…

I wouldn’t.  Purdue was 9-39 the four seasons before Brohm.  Immediately turning that around into two .500 seasons, before any of your recruits can even be upper classmen, is not something to thumb one’s nose at.  Meanwhile, Louisville is not really a destination job in college football — it’s fine, but coaches tend to leave for better places if they’ve been successful.  For Brohm, on the other hand, it might be a place he’s willing to stay at for a long time.  They should absolutely want him.

11/07/2018 - 3:41pm Hopefully I get more points…

Hopefully I get more points in this thread than Rutgers gets yards on Saturday!

11/07/2018 - 2:51pm When I started looking for a…

When I started looking for a new job, I did in fact tell my boss right away.  She understood my reasons (lack of upward mobility in my current position — being buried on the depth chart so to speak), and was supportive, reaching out to her connections and giving me a reference as I found a new landing place.

So to continue your analogy, it can very much make sense to be open about it.  If you’ve got a good relationship with your coaches, it is not impossible they can help you find your new school.  Certainly that isn’t the case for every player, but if player and coach both feel the best option is a transfer, then it’s mutually beneficial to work together towards that outcome.

11/04/2018 - 10:12am Also to be fair he only…

Also to be fair he only started four of his six games, which pulled down his average, was injured in one of those four starts (also pulling down his average) and there was a game vs. Minny where we simply didn’t need to throw the ball (Higdon and Evans rushed for almost 400 yards combined).

He wasn’t great, but looking at his YPG stats is silly, especially with a small sample size.  Shea only averaged 134 YPG games in our wins over Wisky and PSU, which is Peters’ average from his four starts last year.

I’m fairly sure Peters could start for a number of major conference teams.  We’re lucky to have him as our third string.

10/31/2018 - 6:45pm As it now appears Durkin has…

As it now appears Durkin has been fired, I guess the Board if Regents couldn’t withstand the pressure for the week.  Right decision, definitely took way too long, and the wrong way, to get there.

10/31/2018 - 6:37pm I want to not stray into…

I want to not stray into politics, but there is an election next week and the Governor’s challenger immediately decried the Board of Regents’ decision, tying it to Governor Hogan as he appointed a majority of the Board.  Hogan initially did not have a strong position until it looked like it might gain traction in the final week before the election — it is not clear that pressure will be applied beyond next Tuesday.

(I guess this is mildly political, but frankly politics is inextricably tied to the issue, so ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ )

10/29/2018 - 9:49am Louisville is 2-6 and just…

Louisville is 2-6 and just gave up 56 points to Wake Forest in a 21 point loss at home.  Three of their final four opponents are currently ranked, and their other opponent is also better than them (NC State).  They could easily finish 2-10 and winless in the conference, and would be wise to get Brohm while he’s available.

10/28/2018 - 7:24pm No, how it works is it…

No, how it works is it reflects the irrational exuberance of Michigan fans, who are unlikely to bet against the spread.

10/27/2018 - 11:03am That said, if Louisville…

That said, if Louisville doesn’t win today, they might not win another game all year.  2-10 and winless in conference should cost Petrino his job regardless of buyouts.  Brohm needs to win a couple more games — a 7-5 record would be nice — but the bigger factor is Louisville continuing to go into the tank.

10/26/2018 - 10:25am Really?  Underwhelmed since…

Really?  Underwhelmed since Biakabutuka?  Anthony Thomas was a beast as the primary back (1500 yards with 5.4 per carry and 25 carries a game) his senior year, and went for over 4K in his career. He handed the torch to Chris Perry, who in his senior year went for nearly 1700 on 5 per carry, and also caught 44 passes on his way to being B10 Offensive POY, 1st-Team All-American, and a 1st round pick.

10/23/2018 - 2:58pm I always* like imagining…

I always* like imagining that UT-Martin was founded by former Vols quarterback Tee Martin.

 

*Always = one time every 1-2 years where I’m reminded that UT-Martin exists.

10/23/2018 - 12:36pm Top-50ish 2020 guard in…

Top-50ish 2020 guard in basketball.  Definitely should be a bigger deal on these boards.

10/22/2018 - 8:13am Luckily it’s Senior Day,…

Luckily it’s Senior Day, which should help with being focused that week.

10/16/2018 - 5:42pm His withdrawing from school…

His withdrawing from school was covered in the other thread.

10/14/2018 - 4:42pm Seems likely.  From the…

Seems likely.  From the sound of it his father has done very well professionally (lawyer-turned-CEO of a bank), so he should be able to afford out of state tuition while getting a great education and playing football. 

Welcome aboard!

10/14/2018 - 9:23am To be fair to Nordin, only…

To be fair to Nordin, only the first miss is really leaving points on the field.  A 54-yarder on the last play of the half is bonus points if it goes in, not points you should expect to have.

10/11/2018 - 8:59am Does he need plenty of snaps…

Does he need plenty of snaps this weekend tho?  Wisconsin is something around 115th in sack rate if I recall — I would think this is a week to not weight the pass-blocking abilities of a running back all that high. 

10/10/2018 - 8:01am Also not a lawyer and haven…

Also not a lawyer and haven’t read the ruling, but I don’t get what angle you’re coming in here from — isn’t USC a private institution, so he wouldn’t have been a state employee?  Did he have a job offer at another UC institution that was pulled because of the show cause, or had he moved to one after USC but before the penalty was placed on him?

09/25/2018 - 2:20pm Only if you win the lawsuit.

Only if you win the lawsuit.

09/25/2018 - 1:44pm It’s a lot cheaper…

It’s a lot cheaper financially if Meyer gets mad and leaves.

09/10/2018 - 1:35pm I don’t think it’s…

I don’t think it’s undeniably good, as there just isn’t that perfect camera angle but it was a good deal better than 50/50 from what I saw.  The three angles they showed were “probably good”, “looks good”, and “can’t tell.”  Nothing looked “probably not good.”

09/07/2018 - 9:26am I’m not seeing the same…

I’m not seeing the same payout structure you advertise.  $1 million total, but on DraftKings I see:

15 correct — split $300k

14 correct — split $200k

13 correct — split $150k

11-12 correct — split $200k

8-10 correct — split $150k

 

(Sorry in advance for what looks like it will be a lot of white space in this post.  Haven’t figured out the text box in mobile yet.)

 

09/01/2018 - 4:21pm If we’ve replaced two…

If we’ve replaced two starting tackles by Week 5, inserting a true freshman and a redshirt freshman who switched positions, there is no way we go 10-2.  Certainly we’ve already lost to Notre Dame in this scenario.  That’s how we get to 8-4.