Michigan a very good bet this year

Michigan a very good bet this year

Submitted by Dailysportseditor on March 6th, 2018 at 3:18 PM

Michigan basketball has been a good bet this year, literally.  VegasInsider and OddsShark websites list Michigan with 22 wins ATS this season, tied for most in the country with Nebraska.

 

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/against-the-spread/

https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaab/ats-standings

B1G Football: Week 2 Against the Spread

B1G Football: Week 2 Against the Spread

Submitted by RyanParrill on September 12th, 2013 at 12:36 PM

Last week UMgradMSUdad went over B1G football against the spread for the first week. He had commented "But if anybody else is interested in doing it, I say go for it." So I did. If you'd like anything else tracked, let me know and I will consider it. Unless it's tracking the top-25, I don't believe I'll put time/effort into that. Any top 25 team that's relevant to Michigan will be tracked, given they're in our conference.

 

I Bet You $20 I Can Get You Gambling By the End of the Day

  Week 1 Week 2
  Open Close Result Difference Open Close Result Difference
Michigan -34.5 -31.5 59-9 (CMU) +18.5 -4 -5 41-30 (ND) +6
Ohio -35 -34 40-20 (Buff) -14 -28.5 -28 42-7 (SDSU) +7
Michigan St -27 -28 26-13 (WMU) -15 -24.5 -21.5 21-6 (USF) -6.5
Indiana -24 -25 73-35 (Ind St) +13 -14 -12.5 35-41 (Navy) -18.5
Illinois -24 -17 42-34 (So Ill) -9 +7.5 +8 45-17 (Cinci) +36
Northwestern -3 -6.5 44-30 (@Cal) +7.5 -16 -17 48-27 (Syr) +4
Penn State -7 -8 23-17 (Syr) -2 -24.5 -28 45-7 (EMU) +10
Nebraska -27 -31 37-34 (Wyo) -28 -31 -28 56-13 (S Miss) +15
Iowa -3 -3 27-30 (N Ill) -6 -24 -26 28-14 (Misso St) -12
Wisconsin -44 -44 45-0 (UMass) +1 -45 -45 48-0 (Tenn Tech) +3
Purdue +7.5 +10.5 7-42 (Cinci) -24.5 -17 -17 20-14 (Ind St) -11
Minnesota -14.5 -13.5 51-23 (UNLV) +14.5 -15 -16 44-21 (N Mex St) +7
  • The B1G went 8-4 ATS last week, improving on their 5-7 record from the first week.
  • As you can see, Michigan has done very well ATS in their first 2 weeks, the best in B1G.
  • Northwestern, Wisconsin, and Minessota are the only other B1G teams that are 2-0 ATS.

What about next week? Can't make money on past spreads...

Show Me the Money

  Week 3
  Open Current O/U Opponent
Michigan -35.5 -37 56.5/57 Akron
Ohio -14.5 -16 66 @Cal
Michigan St -28 -24/-26 NL Young St
Indiana -4 -2.5 63.5 BGSU
Illinois +7 +9.5/+10 62/62.5 Wash
Northwestern -35 -30.5/-31 59.5/60 WMU
Penn State -3 -5.5/-6 50.5 UCF
Nebraska -4 -4.5 70! UCLA
Iowa -3 -2.5 48.5/49 @Iowa St
Wisconsin +4 +5/+5.5 52.5 @Az St
Purdue +23 +20.5 50 ND
Minnesota -23.5 -24 NL W Ill
  • Hoke is 3-1 ATS when playing MAC teams at Michigan, with his only loss coming from beating EMU by 28 with the spread of -28.5.
  • Michigan has covered 3 straight games at home.
  • Hoke is 11-6 ATS at home.
  • Gardner is 5-2 ATS & 6-1 O/U as the starting QB with the last 4 home games going over the total.
  • Hoke has been favored at home by over 30 points twice, and covered in both contests.
  • Terry Bowden & the Zips were 1-11 last year, but went 6-6 ATS and are 0-2 ATS this year.
  • Before last week the Zips had went under the total in 8 straight contests. Last week they went over the total by 13.5 points; looks like they had subs, and it was crazy.

With a total of 57 and a spread of 37, the team totals project to be Michigan (47) and Akron (10). The limits on team totals aren't as lucrative, but I don't see Akron scoring 10 points. Or at least I don't want to see that.

If interested, here are past ATS records for the B1G:

  2011 2012 2013
Michigan 8-4-1 6-7 2-0
Ohio 6-7 7-5 1-1
Michigan St 10-4 5-8 0-2
Indiana 5-6-1 6-6 1-1
Illinois 6-7 3-9 1-1
Northwestern 5-8 12-1 2-0
Penn State 3-9-1 9-2-1 1-1
Nebraska 4-8-1 6-7-1 1-1
Iowa 5-8 4-8 0-2
Wisconsin 7-6-1 6-8 2-0
Purdue 6-6-1 6-7 0-2
Minnesota 8-5 6-7 2-0

 

What's your best bet?