B1G Expectations: 2018 S&P+ Sneak Peek
It's that time of year again - the lull between the day-formerly-known-as NSD and Spring Practice, when nothing much is going on, except that some of the early pre-season advanced stats ratings have come out. I'm planning to put together what's becoming a usual Diary post that details the ratings, schedule breakdowns, and expected win total at some point. Until then, since the numbers have been crunched and some of the graphics have already been generated, I thought I'd just post a sneak peek chart. This one pretty much summarizes the S&P+ take on how things are expected to shake out in the B1G East and West.
So, 2018 is looking like more of the same, except with M coming in with a mode of 8 wins and an expected win total of 8.3 - numbers which are actually worse than the early estimates from last season. Most of that decline is probably attributable to M's schedule being far more treacherous for 2018, most evidenced by all of the other teams on the chart with higher modes than M's being on M's schedule.
February 16th, 2018 at 5:33 PM ^
Pfft, mode. The mode is the statistical bitch of the median, and the punk ass bitch of the mean.
February 16th, 2018 at 5:38 PM ^
February 17th, 2018 at 12:31 AM ^
The mode can lick my chode.
February 16th, 2018 at 8:42 PM ^
February 16th, 2018 at 9:51 PM ^
February 16th, 2018 at 10:26 PM ^
February 17th, 2018 at 12:22 AM ^
February 17th, 2018 at 1:09 PM ^
why is it so difficult? michigan has only lost home games to either osu or msu since harbaugh has been there. ok call both of those games losses since they are on the road and recent history says they will never beat either team again.
the nd game has no history of being unwinnable, at home or on the road. michigan has lost twice at nw in the last 50+ years. wisconsin, penn state show no advantage over michigan in ann arbor. so were are all the probable losses comeing from? 10-2 or 9-3 looks more likely.
February 17th, 2018 at 9:32 PM ^
There are several games that are within the margin of home-field advantage, such that the road games at ND and MSU show close losses, and the home games versus Wisconsin and Penn State are narrow wins, and at #1, OSU remains OSU.
Here's the game-by-game breakdown for Michigan per S&P+:
And ... here's the game-by-game breakdown per FPI as well: