Adjusted season predictions
Michigan sits at 5-2, and we've now got a little more than half a season's worth of data. With that in mind, how do you see the rest of the schedule playing out? Have your expectations for any of the remaining games changed?
Here's what I've got:
- 10/28: Rutgers - W
- 11/4: Minnesota - W
- 11/11: @ MD - W
- 11/18: @ Wisconsin - L
- 11/25: OSU - toss-up
Compared to my expectations coming into the season, the offense is certainly not as good as hoped. Despite that, I still don't think Rutgers, Minnesota, or Maryland have an offense capable of doing anything against Don Brown's D.
Wisconsin's offense probably plays more to the strengths of UM's D, particularly compared to Penn State's offense, but I just don't see the offense being able to go into Camp Randall to pull off a win.
The OSU game is always a toss-up. Despite the struggles of the offense, it's a home game and weird things can happen in rivalry games. I still think it will be an uphill battle for UM, but you never know in that game.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:45 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 12:00 PM ^
Not going to say we win, but certainly agree with it being winable and probably hideous.
October 26th, 2017 at 1:41 PM ^
On offense, they are 26th in S&P+ compared to Penn State's 10th. So while they aren't as good, they aren't *that* much worse.
And on defense, they are 6th in S&P+, Penn State is 9th, and Michigan is 14th.
People are sleeping on Wisconsin. Jonathan Taylor is a top 10 RB in all of CFB and their defense is also pretty good. That game is going to be just as challenging as the Penn State game. There is nothing at all to give any sort of indiciation that Michigan has a good chance of winning that game.
October 26th, 2017 at 2:24 PM ^
Wisconsin is not capable of the offensive performance PSU put on last week with Barkley, a flawless McSorely, and Moorehead. I am absolutely certain of that. We certainly match up with them better than PSU. And while S&P might think highly of Wisconsin, they still have been playing straight up horrible competition. Every advanced stat loved our defense until we played an elite offense.
October 26th, 2017 at 2:45 PM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 3:16 PM ^
October 27th, 2017 at 12:28 AM ^
That probably didnt seem like it but I was agreeing.
October 26th, 2017 at 5:35 PM ^
I want to believe, but data and conclusions are leaving me less than optimistic. I called 8-4 at the beginning of the season, I hope we get 8 and 9 with the bowl game. But to be honest, if we beat OSU, i'll consider it a successful season
October 26th, 2017 at 9:45 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 9:49 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 9:51 AM ^
is already over there making fun of people like a 12 year old on the playground. He just decided to bring it over here to be even cooler.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:59 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 10:04 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 10:07 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 10:14 AM ^
trolling over here too? I bet you wear a little pennant with Harbaugh's face on it. Do you get butterflies when you think about him?
Stop upvoting yourself.
October 26th, 2017 at 3:05 PM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 9:48 AM ^
think we beat Wisconsin and lose a relatively close game to Ohio State. I think the three games before those are fairly comfortable wins. And then I think we will beat LSU or Texas A&M in the Outback Bowl.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:50 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 9:52 AM ^
that a possibility in one of the token Florida Bowls? I thought that BIG/SEC were still locked into those spots.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:55 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 9:57 AM ^
one of the non-Power 5 teams go to a NY6 Bowl? One of those teams is probably headed to like the Peach Bowl or something.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:53 AM ^
Odds are UCF will be without a coach during Bowl Season.
October 26th, 2017 at 11:08 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 12:28 PM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 10:30 AM ^
This year there is a good chance the Holiday Bowl will select before the Outback. Couple that with the fact Michigan has not been out to California since 2007, if Michigan finishes 9-3, even 8-4 the Holiday is more likely than the Outback. If Notre Dame drops two of their remaining games they will take the Citrus Bowl.
Potential Matchups in the Holiday Bowl are Stanford and USC.
October 26th, 2017 at 10:35 AM ^
would like either of those matchups and would much prefer the Holiday Bowl to the Florida Meh Bowl Series.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:49 AM ^
even though its on the road, I would say Wisconsin is way more of a toss up that OSU. I just do not see us beating OSU with their athletecism and play makers. I think we match up better against the Badgers.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:50 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 9:54 AM ^
Weird things happen in CFB and weirder things happen in rivalry games at home. Still, I have WI as a toss-up, and The Game as an "L." I'm not yet a believer in WI, and am hopeful UM learned about big road night games last week. Also, hopeful the O continues to grow. That's a lotta hope. Maybe too much. I think OH is the best team in B1G and it's not that close. I think they beat PSU comfortably this week.
October 26th, 2017 at 11:54 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 9:50 AM ^
A dissapointing 8-4 because of that shit msu loss.
October 26th, 2017 at 10:05 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 1:13 PM ^
He's not wrong. That loss to MSU was shit.
October 26th, 2017 at 8:42 PM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 9:50 AM ^
9-3. Win the next 4, lose to OSU. Wisconsin will be tough but I think we can have enough guys in the box to slow down their running game.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:50 AM ^
I think we can still get to 9-3. Wisconsin has not played anyone this year and our defense will be able to stop their offense. Probably the first team to 10 points will win that game.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:50 AM ^
They are predictions. Live with what you thought from the beginning, or ask after OSU and I will give my adjusted prediction.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:52 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 9:56 AM ^
Wiscy struggled with Northwestern and Purdue, and even with Florida Atlantic. They have given up a lot of points to some bad teams. A win at Camp Randall is not out of the question.
October 26th, 2017 at 10:19 AM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 10:34 AM ^
The transitive propery seems to only exist in college football with Michigan. Michigan played XXX really shitty, so they'll play us really shitty too. And low and behold, it happens more often than not.
PSU played meh against Indiana and Northwestern, and they beat our fucking breaks off the following week. OSU plays like horseshit against MSU two years ago, sleptwalk through most of their schedule prior to that and barely scraped by, and then suddenly remembered how good they could actually be when they played against us.
I have a feeling Wisconsin will put on a great game when they play us. Defensively if nothing else. They'll want revenge too after last year.
October 26th, 2017 at 12:25 PM ^
It's interpreted. The way I see it is, We beat Florida, Florida beats Tennessee, we should therefore beat Tennessee. OSU lost to MSU who also beat us, won the division and lost to Alabama in the 1st playoff. That's not really the transitive property, but anyway, we both agree that Wisconsin will probably play their best game against us, because everyone always does.
October 26th, 2017 at 1:06 PM ^
Frankly, I want revenge against them for what they did to Newsome last year.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:49 PM ^
Everyone wants to knock off Michigan. When you are a Michigan team you have a bullseye on your back and you are guaranteed to get every opponent's best shot.
Look how whipped up even the crowd at Indiana was.
October 26th, 2017 at 11:24 PM ^
There is no fire Harbaugh crowd here that I have seen. I haven't seen one person say something stupid like that unless it was an obvious troll. That would be a stupid thing to say at this point.
I would be pretty stoked about getting to 10 wins though. And if it happens to be the OSU game that gets us to it I think there would be a lot of happy people around here with the season.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:54 AM ^
OSU a toss-up, lol. Harbaugh couldn't even beat them with a team full of nfl picks.
October 26th, 2017 at 9:59 AM ^
Harbaugh couldn't even beat them and the officials with a team full of nfl picks.
FIFY
October 26th, 2017 at 8:16 PM ^
October 26th, 2017 at 9:55 AM ^
have Ped Sate's offensive firepower, especially the passing game
both games are toss-ups IMO
October 26th, 2017 at 10:02 AM ^
Wiscy plays one-dimensionally because they can. Taylor is a freaking beast in the running game averaging 7.5 yards per carry. Hornibrook hasn't thrown much because he hasn't had to but is still completing 2/3 of his passes. His biggest downside is his 7 picks compared to his 13 TDs. Michigan will have to take away the run to beat them and force them to pass. That's why the game will be a toss up.